Ibis (2007), 149, 553–563
© 2007 The Authors
Journal compilation © 2007 British Ornithologists’ Union
Blackwell Publishing Ltd
A demographic comparison of two Nordic populations
of Greylag Geese Anser anser
PIERRE A. PISTORIUS,
1
* ARNE FOLLESTAD,
1
LEIF NILSSON
2
& FRANCES E. TAYLOR
1
1
Norwegian Institute for Nature Research, Tungasletta 2, N-7485 Trondheim, Norway
2
Department of Animal Ecology, Ecology Building, SE-223 62 Lund, Sweden
Greylag Geese Anser anser have been neck-banded on an annual basis in Scania, southern
Sweden since 1984 and in Norway since 1986 as part of a Nordic Greylag project. This has
yielded a large database of resightings, which we used here to estimate and compare survival
rates between the two populations by means of mark–recapture models. Estimated adult
survival was sex-dependent in the Scanian population, probably a result of differential neck
band retention rates in this population. Mean juvenile survival was about 12% higher in the
Scanian population (0.603 vs. 0.485). Adult survival in the Norwegian population was 0.728
(males 0.733; females 0.725), and in males and females from the Scanian population was
0.711 (0.752 after accounting for higher neck band loss in males) and 0.771, respectively. Over
the course of the study, juvenile survival in the Scanian population increased substantially,
and adult survival was constant, whereas both these parameters declined in the Norwegian
population. This study demonstrates that the two Nordic populations are demographically
distinct and gives further support to the notion that they should be treated as separate
management units. The decline of 10% in adult survival in the Norwegian population, the
cause of which still remains uncertain, is likely to have had a major impact on the growth
of this population.
In both Norway and Sweden, Greylag Goose Anser
anser numbers have increased rapidly since the mid
1970s after previous over-exploitation (Fog et al.
1984, Madsen 1991, Follestad 1994, Kampe-Persson
2002). These growing numbers have had serious
management implications in recent years as a result of
Greylags contributing to large amounts of agricultural
crop damage, in conjunction with them being favoured
as a target species by hunters (Follestad 1994). This
motivated a study that examined seasonal survival
parameters in Norwegian Greylag Geese (Pistorius
et al. 2006a). Results indicated a significant recent
decline in survival in adults from this population.
Several studies on long-lived species such as Greylag
Geese have demonstrated the primary role that
survival (particularly in adults) rather than fecundity
plays in setting the rate of population change (Le-
breton & Clobert 1991, Sæther et al. 1996, Rockwell
et al. 1997, Schmutz et al. 1997, Menu et al. 2002,
Pistorius et al. 2004), and it is consequently expected
that these observed changes in Greylag survival
would have had a large impact on the population
growth rate (Pistorius et al. 2006a).
The above results were derived from a long-term
mark–recapture programme initiated as part of a
Nordic Greylag project (Andersson et al. 2001).
Marking and resighting of Greylags from Scania
(southern Sweden) and Norway began in 1984 and
1986, respectively. The most recent estimate of the
Norwegian population was approximately 10 000
breeding pairs (Follestad 1994), approximately the
same as the Scanian population (Nilsson et al. 1999,
Andersson et al. 2001).
Motivated by the recently reported decline in sur-
vival in the Norwegian Greylag population (Pistorius
et al. 2006a), we used mark–recapture models to
examine the effect of sex and year on juvenile and
adult survival of Greylag Geese from Scania over
the period 1984–2003. We further estimate annual
(rather than seasonal; Pistorius et al. 2006a) adult
survival in Norwegian Greylags for the period 1986 –
2001 to compare survival patterns between the two
populations. Despite some ecological differences
between the two Nordic populations (see Discussion),
the fact that Greylags from both populations stage in
*Corresponding author.
Email: ppistorius@zoology.up.ac.za