nature publishing group ORIGINAL CONTRIBUTIONS
PANCREAS AND BILIARY TRACT
1911
© 2013 by the American College of Gastroenterology The American Journal of GASTROENTEROLOGY
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INTRODUCTION
Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease with a
highly variable clinical course (1). This disease is currently
the leading cause of gastrointestinal-related hospital admis-
sions in the United States and continues to rise in incidence
(2,3). Most patients (approximately 80%) with AP develop
a mild course that results in a short, uncomplicated hospi-
talization. The remaining 20% develop a complicated clini-
cal course that requires prolonged hospitalization, intensive
care, invasive interventions, and results in significant mortal-
ity (3).
he most widely accepted classiication system for severity in
AP, the Atlanta classiication, was reported in 1992 (4). Atlanta
1992 divides AP into two groups: mild and severe. Severe disease
is deined by the presence of organ failure (OF), local pancre-
atic complications on imaging (acute luid collection, pancreatic
necrosis (PNec), pseudocyst and pancreatic abscess), and/or poor
prognostic scores (Ranson ’s ≥3 and/or APACHE-II ≥8) (4). Atlanta
Revised Atlanta and Determinant-Based Classification:
Application in a Prospective Cohort of Acute
Pancreatitis Patients
Haq Nawaz, MD
1
, Rawad Mounzer, MD
1
, Dhiraj Yadav, MD
1
, Jonathan G. Yabes, PhD
2
, Adam Slivka, MD, PhD
1
,
David C. Whitcomb, MD, PhD
1
and Georgios I. Papachristou, MD
1,3
OBJECTIVES: Atlanta classification (Atlanta 1992) of acute pancreatitis (AP) has several limitations. Two new
classification systems were recently proposed: the Atlanta reclassification (Atlanta 2012) and the
determinant-based classification (DBC). The aim of our study was to: (i) determine the association
between different severity categories and clinical outcomes and (ii) perform a head-to-head compari-
son between Atlanta 1992, Atlanta 2012, and DBC in predicting these clinical outcomes.
METHODS: A total of 256 prospectively enrolled patients were assigned a severity category for all three classi-
fications. Five clinical outcomes were evaluated: mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission and
length of stay (LOS), need for interventions, and hospital LOS. Pairwise testing between severity
grades within a classification system was performed using Fisher’ s exact and Kruskal–Wallis
tests. Predictive accuracies were evaluated using area under the ROC curve (AUC) and Somer’ s
D co-efficient.
RESULTS: Overall, higher grades of severity were associated with worse clinical outcomes for all three classifi-
cation systems. Atlanta 2012 and DBC performed better than Atlanta 1992 and were comparable
in predicting mortality (AUC 0.89 for both vs. 0.76, P < 0.001), ICU admission (AUC 0.91 for both
vs. 0.80, P < 0.001), and ICU LOS (Somer’ s D 0.21 and 0.28 vs. 0.07, P < 0.05). DBC performed
better in predicting need for interventions (AUC 0.93 vs. 0.85, P < 0.001), whereas Atlanta 2012
performed better in predicting hospital LOS (Somer’ s D 0.43 vs. 0.37, P = 0.04).
CONCLUSIONS: Atlanta 2012 and DBC severity categories accurately reflected clinical outcomes in our cohort and
were superior to Atlanta 1992. These novel classification systems can guide the selection of homoge-
neous patient populations for clinical research and provide an accurate spectrum of disease severity
categories in the clinical setting.
Am J Gastroenterol 2013; 108:1911–1917; doi:10.1038/ajg.2013.348; published online 15 October 2013
1
Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center , Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;
2
Center for Research on Health Care Data Center, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;
3
Division of Gastroenterology,
Department of Medicine, Veterans Affairs Pittsburgh Health System, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA. Correspondence: Georgios I. Papachristou, MD,
Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, Department of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh Medical Center , Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
E-mail: papachri@pitt.edu
Received 21 May 2013; accepted 19 August 2013