Child Abuse & Neglect 35 (2011) 96–104
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Child Abuse & Neglect
Identifying children at high risk for a child maltreatment report
Howard Dubowitz
∗
, Jeongeun Kim, Maureen M. Black, Cindy Weisbart, Joshua Semiatin,
Laurence S. Magder
Department of Pediatrics, University of Maryland School of Medicine, 520 W. Lombard Street, Baltimore, MD 21201, USA
article info
Article history:
Received 11 September 2009
Received in revised form 7 September 2010
Accepted 10 September 2010
Available online 4 March 2011
Keywords:
Child maltreatment
Child abuse
Neglect
Risk factors
Prevention
abstract
Objective: To help professionals identify factors that place families at risk for future child
maltreatment, to facilitate necessary services and to potentially help prevent abuse and
neglect.
Method: The data are from a prospective, longitudinal study of 332 low-income families
recruited from urban pediatric primary care clinics, followed for over 10 years, until the
children were approximately 12 years old. Children with prior child protective services
involvement (CPS) were excluded. The initial assessment included sociodemographic, child,
parent and family level variables. Child maltreatment was assessed via CPS reports. Risk
ratios (RRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox regression
models.
Results: Of the 224 children without a prior CPS report and with complete data who
were followed for an average of 10 years, 97 (43%) later had a CPS report. In a multivari-
ate survival analysis, 5 risk factors predicted CPS reports: child’s low performance on a
standardized developmental assessment (RR = 1.23, 95% CI = 1.01–1.49, p = .04), maternal
education ≤ high school (RR = 1.55, CI = 1.01–2.38, p = .04), maternal drug use (RR = 1.71,
CI = 1.01–2.90, p < .05), maternal depressive symptoms (RR per one standard deviation
higher score = 1.28, CI = 1.09–1.51, p < .01), and more children in the family (RR per addi-
tional child = 1.26, CI = 1.07–1.47, p < .01).
Conclusions: Five risk factors were associated with an increased risk for later maltreat-
ment. Child health care and other professionals can identify these risk factors and facilitate
necessary services to strengthen families, support parents and potentially help prevent
child maltreatment.
© 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
Introduction
The prevalence and toll of child maltreatment (i.e., all forms of abuse and neglect) have been amply established (Pilowsky
et al., 2008; Gaudin, 1999; Sedlak et al., 2010; Teicher et al., 2004; US DHHS, 2010). The challenge is to develop and evaluate
promising strategies to help prevent this complex problem (Dubowitz & Guterman, 2005; Macmillan et al., 2009). Preventive
interventions need to build on a clear understanding of the risk factors and etiology of child maltreatment.
This grant was funded by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Administration on Children and Families, Office on Child Abuse and
Neglect, 90CA1749.
∗
Corresponding author.
0145-2134/$ – see front matter © 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
doi:10.1016/j.chiabu.2010.09.003