Water Resour Manage (2009) 23:755–774
DOI 10.1007/s11269-008-9298-9
Spatial Analysis of Water Use in Oregon,
USA, 1985–2005
Jon Franczyk · Heejun Chang
Received: 12 June 2007 / Accepted: 24 June 2008 /
Published online: 17 July 2008
© Springer Science + Business Media B.V. 2008
Abstract Water use patterns are not distributed evenly over space and time. Deter-
mining the amount of water used within a region, as well as the various ways in which
water is used is important for making adequate and sustainable water management
policies and determining future water availability. We examined differences in spatial
trends in Oregon freshwater use (total, municipal, and agricultural water with-
drawals), by county, between the years 1985 and 2005. We also explored biophysical
and socioeconomic factors that explain spatial patterns using Moran’s I, local index of
spatial autocorrelation (LISA), and spatial regression models. There was a moderate
positive spatial autocorrelation among counties that had similar total and irrigation
withdrawals. LISA analysis identified hot spots between certain arid agricultural
counties in the southeastern Oregon and cold spots between certain humid north-
western counties, including within the Portland metro area. Annual precipitation and
income are negatively associated with total water withdrawals. Summer temperature
and farm size is positively associated with irrigation water withdrawals, while net cash
return and income are negatively associated with irrigation water withdrawals. When
compared to ordinary least square regression models, spatial error models that take
into account spatial dependence provide a more comprehensive explanation of the
variations of water use, suggesting that water resource planning and management
should incorporate spatial and neighborhood effects to effective manage limited
natural resources.
Keywords Water use · Oregon · Municipal supply · Irrigation ·
Spatial autocorrelation · Spatial regression
J. Franczyk · H. Chang (B )
Department of Geography,
Portland State University, Portland, OR 97201, USA
e-mail: changh@pdx.edu