Economics Letters 112 (2011) 60–62
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Economics Letters
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ecolet
De facto financial openness and capital mobility
Javed Younas
∗
Department of Economics, American University of Sharjah, P.O. Box 26666, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates
article info
Article history:
Received 16 July 2010
Received in revised form
12 March 2011
Accepted 23 March 2011
Available online 8 April 2011
JEL classification:
F30
F02
Keywords:
Feldstein–Horioka puzzle
De facto financial openness
Dynamic panel model
abstract
This paper shows that de facto financial openness does (does not) increase capital mobility in developing
(developed) countries and that capital is (is not) freely mobile in the most financially open developing
(developed) countries.
© 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Feldstein and Horioka (1980), hereafter FH, obtained a corre-
lation of domestic savings and domestic investment close to one
in their analysis of sixteen OECD countries which they interpreted
as evidence of capital immobility.
1
This finding led to the contro-
versial conclusion of the existence of significant home bias in the
allocation of domestic savings. Subsequent analysis also finds this
correlation to be high for OECD countries, but less than what was
observed in the 1960s and 1970s (Feldstein and Bacchetta, 1991;
Tesar, 1991). In light of the increased integration of world capital
markets, evidence of capital immobility among developed coun-
tries came to be known as the FH puzzle (e.g., Obstfeld and Rogoff,
2000).
It is not difficult to concede that there will inevitably be
some home bias due to barriers to entry, information cost, and
attitude toward risks in investing in international portfolios.
Contrarily, financial reforms and capital account openness in a
country would weaken this correlation as domestic savings flow
to countries with the highest marginal returns. A few recent
studies have captured this phenomenon by employing either de
jure ‘‘perceived’’ measures of financial openness or a time trend in
∗
Tel.: +971 6 515 2612; fax: +971 6 558 5065.
E-mail address: jyounas@aus.edu.
1
In the FH sense, a higher estimated value of the coefficient of savings rate
indicates low capital mobility, while its lower value reflects high capital mobility
in a country.
an augmented FH equation (e.g., Isaksson, 2001; Georgopoulos and
Hejazi, 2005; Younas and Chakraborty, 2010; Younas and Nandwa,
2010). These studies attribute their findings of increased capital
mobility to the financial markets’ liberalization in the world.
I argue that both de jure measures as well as a time trend
are weak indicators of capital account openness and financial
reforms in a country. The former are indices based on the extent of
restrictions on capital account transactions across borders. Their
obvious drawback is that they can at best be described as the
‘‘intention’’ to restrict capital flows which, by itself, does not
accurately reflect an economy’s actual level of integration in the
world financial market. The problem with the latter is that this may
also capture a host of other factors such as business cycle effects
and changes in policy regimes in a country. Consequently, their use
in the FH equation would result in an upward bias in the savings
retention coefficient, thus implying lower capital mobility than is
actually the case.
2
This paper contributes to the empirical FH literature in a
significant way by incorporating two major improvements over
the existing research: First, this is the first study that uses data
on de facto financial openness to measure its impact on the degree
of capital mobility. Since the purpose of this study is to examine
the impact on capital mobility of actual restrictions on domestic
2
The coefficient on the savings rate is also called the saving retention coefficient.
It shows the extent to which an increase in domestic savings is used to finance
domestic investment or the fraction of one dollar of savings that is invested
domestically (Georgopoulos and Hejazi, 2005).
0165-1765/$ – see front matter © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2011.03.028