International Scholarly Research Network
ISRN AIDS
Volume 2012, Article ID 721720, 9 pages
doi:10.5402/2012/721720
Research Article
High Loss to Followup and Early Mortality Create
Substantial Reduction in Patient Retention at
Antiretroviral Treatment Program in North-West Ethiopia
Mamo Wubshet,
1
Yemane Berhane,
2
Alemayehu Worku,
2
Yigzaw Kebede,
1
and Ermias Diro
1
1
Institute of Public Health, University of Gondar, P.O. Box 196, Gondar, Ethiopia
2
Addis Continental Institute of Public Health, P.O. Box 26751/1000, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Correspondence should be addressed to Mamo Wubshet, mamo wubshet@yahoo.com
Received 15 March 2012; Accepted 3 April 2012
Academic Editors: D. Aunis, C. A. Hughes, F. Krebs, and P. Price
Copyright © 2012 Mamo Wubshet et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution
License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly
cited.
Background. There has been a rapid scale up of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Ethiopia since 2005. We aimed to evaluate mortality,
loss to followup, and retention in care at HIV Clinic, University of Gondar Hospital, north-west Ethiopia. Method. A retrospective
patient chart record analysis was performed on adult AIDS patients enrolled in the treatment program starting from 1 March
2005. We performed survival analysis to determine, mortality, loss to followup and retention in care. Results. A total of 3012 AIDS
patients were enrolled in the ART Program between March 2005 and August 2010. At the end of the 66 months of the program
initiation, 61.4% of the patients were retained on treatment, 10.4% died, and 31.4% were lost to followup. Fifty-six percent of the
deaths and 46% of those lost to followup occurred in the first year of treatment. Male gender (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) was
3.26; 95% CI: 2.19–4.88); CD4 count ≤200 cells/μL (AHR 5.02; 95% CI: 2.03–12.39), tuberculosis (AHR 2.91; 95% CI: 2.11–4.02);
bed-ridden functional status (AHR 12.88; 95% CI: 8.19–20.26) were predictors of mortality, whereas only CD4 count <200 cells/μL
(HR = 1.33; 95% CI: (0.95, 1.88) and ambulatory functional status (HR = 1.65; 95% CI: (1.22, 2.23) were significantly associated
with LTF. Conclusion. Loss to followup and mortality in the first year following enrollment remain a challenge for retention of
patients in care. Strengthening patient monitoring can improve patient retention AIDS care.
1. Background
Ethiopia is one of the few countries with the highest number
of people living with HIV/AIDS globally. According to
Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey (EDHS) 2011,
Federal Ministry of Health (FMOH) and HIV/AIDS Pre-
vention and Control Office (HAPCO) estimated that adult
HIV prevalence was 1.5% of which 73,000 people require
ART 2010 [1]. A fee-based ART program in 2003, and a
free antiretroviral therapy (ART) program in early 2005 was
started [2]. Subsequently, a number of initiatives have been
undertaken to expand the availability of ART in Ethiopia.
Task shifting and decentralization of the service to increasing
numbers of both health centers and hospitals was done since
August 2006 [3].
The provision of antiretroviral treatment has decreased
morbidity and mortality in people living with HIV [3–7].
There have been several enabling factors for rapid scale-up
of ART in resource-limited settings. Despite recent progress
in improving access to ART, limited uptake, poor retention,
and difficulties in accessing care remain a serious concern for
ART programs [3, 4, 8–10].
Treatment discontinuation raises some of the concern
about drug resistance, which incomplete adherence does, and
negates much of the benefit sought by those implementing
treatment programs [11, 12]. Patients with clinical AIDS who
discontinue ART will likely die within a relatively short time
[13]. Long-term retention of patients in treatment programs
has received far less attention perhaps because most large-
scale treatment providers have few resources available to