© 2005 CEIS, Fondazione Giacomo Brodolini and Blackwell Publishing Ltd, 9600 Garsington Rd., Oxford
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Comprehensive Education for the
Unemployed — Evaluating the Effects on
Unemployment of the Adult Education
Initiative in Sweden
Anders Stenberg
Abstract. This paper evaluates the effects on unemployment in Sweden of the
Adult Education Initiative (AEI) which during its run from 1997 to 2002 offered
adult education to the unemployed at compulsory or upper secondary level. The
AEI is compared with the vocational part of Labor Market Training (LMT) using
unemployment incidence and unemployment duration as outcome variables, both
measured immediately after completion of the programs. For unemployment inci-
dence, selection on unobservables is taken into account by using a bivariate probit
model. The analysis of unemployment duration considers both selection bias and
censored observations. The results indicate lower incidence following participation
in the AEI, but also — significant at the 10 per cent level — longer duration.
1. Introduction
Swedish labor market policy has traditionally been characterized
by measures that seek to activate the unemployed in some form of
work-related training rather than merely handing out unemploy-
ment benefits. The ambition has been to keep the labor force par-
ticipation rate as high as possible during recessions and to avoid
bottlenecks during periods of economic boom. On 1 July 1997 this
strategy was boosted by the introduction of a large-scale project,
Anders Stenberg, SOFI, Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
E-mail: anders.stenberg@sofi.su.se.
The author wishes to thank Roger Axelsson, Kurt Brännäs, Xavier de Luna, Per
Johansson, Olle Westerlund and Magnus Wikström, seminar participants at IFAU
and an anonymous referee. Financial support from The Commission for Adult
Education and Training is gratefully acknowledged.
LABOUR 19 (1) 123–146 (2005) JEL J64