Presented at the conference on Water Resources Management: New Approaches and Technologies, 14–16 June 2007,
Chania, Greece.
0011-9164/09/$– See front matter © 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved
Desalination 237 (2009) 3–21
Hydrological response to meteorological drought using the
Palmer drought indices in Thessaly, Greece
Lampros Vasiliades, Athanasios Loukas*
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Thessaly, Pedion Areos, 38334 Volos, Greece
Tel. +30 24210 74168; Fax: +30 24210 74169; email: aloukas@civ.uth.gr
Received 18 October 2007; Accepted 2 December 2007
Abstract
This study evaluates the efficacy of Palmer drought indices to monitor hydrological droughts in river discharges
and soil moisture in selected watersheds with varying geomorphologic characteristics in region of Thessaly, Greece.
The Palmer four indices (PDSI, Weighted PDSI, PHDI and the moisture anomaly Z-index) were used as indicators
of meteorological drought severity. The hydrological drought severity was evaluated from the outputs of the monthly
UTHBAL conceptual water balance model. The UTHBAL model was calibrated with the available observed runoff
data to extend, reconstruct and produce runoff and soil moisture timeseries for the hydrologic period 1960–2002 at
the study catchments. The produced hydrologic variables were normalized through Box-Cox transformation and
standardized to normal distribution. The standardized hydrologic variables were used as an indicator of hydrological
drought severity and were compared with the Palmer drought indices timeseries estimated by basin-wide
meteorological data. The results showed that, in general, the Weighted PDSI and the moisture anomaly Z-index were
found to better represent river discharges and soil moisture, respectively, for all study watersheds irrespectively to
their area, geophysical, and hydroclimatic characteristics. However, the results were quite variable in the
identification of specific historical drought periods. Although, the Palmer indices were successful in the identification
of drought severity of historical events, they failed to identify the drought duration.
Keywords: Palmer drought indices; Runoff; Soil moisture; Meteorological drought; Hydrological drought; Drought
severity; Drought duration
1. Introduction
In many Mediterranean countries environ-
mental policy and water resources and drought
*Corresponding author.
policies have been badly structured and organized
and continue to negatively impact water resources
in most countries. The Water Framework Direc-
tive (WFD) in the European Union sets the gene-
ral framework for water management in member