Statistics and Probability Letters 81 (2011) 243–249
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Statistics and Probability Letters
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/stapro
Drift parameter estimation in fractional diffusions driven by perturbed
random walks
Karine Bertin
a,*
, Soledad Torres
a
, Ciprian A. Tudor
b,1
a
Departamento de Estadística, CIMFAV Universidad de Valparaíso, Casilla 123-V, 4059 Valparaiso, Chile
b
Laboratoire Paul Painlevé, Université de Lille 1, F-59655 Villeneuve d’Ascq, France
article info
Article history:
Received 25 January 2010
Received in revised form 13 August 2010
Accepted 6 October 2010
Available online 27 October 2010
MSC:
60G18
62M99
Keywords:
Fractional Brownian motion
Maximum likelihood estimation
Random walk
abstract
We estimate the drift parameter in a simple linear model driven by fractional Brownian
motion. We propose maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for the drift parameter con-
struct by using a random walk approximation of the fractional Brownian motion.
© 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
The self-similar processes are of interest for various applications, such as economics, internet traffic or hydrology. The
fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is the usual candidate to model phenomena in which the self-similarity property can
be observed from the empirical data. Recall that the fractional Brownian motion is a centered Gaussian process with the
covariance function R
H
(t , s) =
1
2
(t
2H
+ s
2H
-|t - s|
2H
), H ∈ (0, 1). The fBm can also be defined as the only Gaussian process
which is self-similar with stationary increments (see Embrechts and Maejima, 2002).
In the last few years the study, from the stochastic calculus point of view, of such processes has been intensively
developed. The most popular self-similar stochastic process that exhibits long-range dependence is of course fractional
Brownian motion (fBm). Recently, stochastic integrals of various types with respect to fBm have been constructed and
stochastic differential equations driven by fBm have been considered (see e.g. Nualart, 2003).
The stochastic analysis of the fractional Brownian motion naturally led to the statistical inference for diffusion processes
with fBm as the driving noise. We address in this work the problem of the estimation of the drift parameter in the model
dY
t
= ab(Y
t
)dt + dB
H
t
, t ∈[0, T ] (1)
where (B
H
t
)
t ∈[0,T ]
is a fractional Brownian motion with a Hurst index H ∈ (0, 1) and b is a deterministic function satisfying
some regularity conditions, and assume that the parameter a ∈ R has to be estimated. Such questions have been treated
*
Corresponding author. Tel.: +56 322508324.
E-mail addresses: karine.bertin@uv.cl, karinebertin@hotmail.com (K. Bertin), soledad.torres@uv.cl (S. Torres), tudor@math.univ-lille1.fr (C.A. Tudor).
1
Associate member: SAMOS, Centre d’Economie de La Sorbonne, Université de Panthéon-Sorbonne Paris 1, 90, rue de Tolbiac, 75634 Paris Cedex 13,
France.
0167-7152/$ – see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.spl.2010.10.003