JULY 2011 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | 1
AFFILIATIONS: Shepherd, Mote, Dowd, and Roden—University
of Georgia, Athens, Georgia; Knox—Office of the State Clima-
tologist, Athens, Georgia; McCutcheon— U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Athens, Georgia; Nelson—National Weather
Service, Peachtree City, Georgia
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Dr. J. Marshall Shepherd, Univer-
sity of Georgia, Climatological Research Laboratory, Department
of Geography, Athens, Georgia 30602
E-mail: marshgeo@uga.edu
DOI:10.1175/2010BAMS3003.1
©2011 American Meteorological Society
to levels exceeding the estimated 500-yr lood. he
Yellow River stream gauges in Gwinnett, DeKalb, and
Rockdale Counties measured lows that submerged
the 100-yr loodplains but failed to reach the 200-yr
lood level, which has a 0.5% chance of occurring
in any given year (www.usgs.gov/newsroom/ar-
ticle.asp?ID=2316). he 100-yr lood level with a 1%
chance of occurrence in any given year is one of the
standards that the Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA) uses to set lood insurance rates and
prevent lood plain development. he USGS recorded
100-yr flood levels on the Chattahoochee River
at Vinings in Atlanta (Fig. 2), where stage heights
An Overview of Synoptic and Mesoscale Factors
Contributing to the Disastrous Atlanta Flood of 2009
BY MARSHALL SHEPHERD, T HOMAS MOTE, JOHN DOWD, MIKE RODEN,
P AMELA KNOX, STEVEN C. MCCUTCHEON, AND STEVEN E. NELSON
R
ecent literature suggests that damage, loss of
life, and costs from looding have risen in recent
decades (Ashley and Ashley 2008; Brissette et al.
2003). In a 2009 Journal of Climate article, Seager et al.
noted that regions of the southeastern United States
face increasing vulnerability to hydroclimatic ex-
tremes because of population growth and increasing
population density. In 2008, a majority of the popula-
tion lived in urban areas, and by 2030 this number is
expected to reach 81%. he unsustainable, modiied
water cycle will afect the ecosystem, infrastructure,
and societal activities, thereby requiring revolution-
ary designs, management, and policies. Burian and
Shepherd (2005) and Reynolds et al. (2008) represent
a sample of recent literature that has reconsidered
implications of precipitation on urban drainage and
hydrological processes.
In September 2009, the metropolitan area of
Atlanta and surrounding areas in northern Georgia
experienced disastrous urban looding that inundated
major transportation arteries, closed several major
school systems, submerged the popular Six Flags
theme park, and contributed to at least 10 deaths
as of October 2009 (Fig. 1). he United States Geo-
logical Survey (USGS) measured the largest low ever
recorded on Sweetwater Creek near Austell, which
has a streamlow record dating back to August 1904.
Parts of Cobb and Douglas Counties were inundated
FIG. 1. (top) Flooding on U.S. Interstate 285 loop
around Atlanta and (bottom) Six Flags theme park.
(Images courtesy of the Atlanta Journal Constitution,
www.ajc.com).