A View to the Future of the Library and Information
Science Profession: A Delphi Study
Shifra Baruchson-Arbib
The Department of Information Science, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan 52900, Israel
Jenny Bronstein
Technology Information Center, ECI Telecom
A Delphi study conducted in Israel during 1998 –2000
examined the views of library and information science
(LIS) experts on the future of the profession in light of the
changes in information technology. The study focused
on three areas: (a) the transition from the traditional to
the virtual library; (b) the transition from the technical to
user-centered approach, and( c) the skills and the roles
of the LIS professionals. The study found that most ex-
perts believe that the traditional library will continue to
operate along with the virtual library. Most of the experts
agree that in the future, libraries will place larger empha-
sis on customer services. LIS professionals will be spe-
cialists in locating, filtering, and evaluating information,
and will be primary instructors in the use of new infor-
mation technologies. This study’s conclusions closely
match those of the Kaliper project (1998 –2000), which
examined the change in the curricula of LIS schools.
Introduction
The rapid pace of developments in the field of Informa-
tion Technology and the advent of networked information
services have prompted a comprehensive review of the
Library and Information Science (LIS) profession. The
technological developments of the past 25 years, such as
electronic databases, on-line services, CD ROMs, and the
introduction of the Internet, have radically transformed ac-
cess to information, making information readily available,
especially for the end user. However, the information over-
load is such that greater expertise is demanded in retrieving
and analyzing relevant information. The information field
has spread out of the libraries and information centers, and
has been transformed into an industry that sells, organizes,
and processes information.
In this period of constant change, the library’s traditional
roles of preserving, cataloging, classifying, and readers’
services are undergoing a transformation. Library schools
worldwide have confronted technological challenges and
adapted their curriculum according to the new develop-
ments. In addition, many academic research studies discuss
expected changes that the LIS profession is undergoing.
Among the central questions raised is the issue of disinter-
mediation. In other words, will the easy access to informa-
tion completely eliminate the need for the librarian as an
intermediary? Another important question concerns the pos-
sible transformation of the traditional library into a virtual
entity with the majority of the information in electronic
format. The authors of this study assume that the Web is not
a library substitute, and that there will always be a need for
libraries and librarians to help users cope with the ever-
changing information environment. However, the LIS pro-
fession will certainly change, and the LIS schools will have
to meet these developments and change their study pro-
grams.
The major cause for change in the libraries is, of course,
the Internet. The World Wide Web consists of an enormous
amount of disorganized information, which may appear
easy to use at first glance but can also be confusing. First,
the vast amount of retrievable information one can obtain
from an Internet search gives the impression that one has
plumbed the depths of available information on a given
topic. This is not true, because the proportion of available
digital content is minute compared to the amount of printed
materials available. Furthermore, many printed resources
are so large that complete digital conversion is not possible.
Second, much of what is available on the Web does not
conform to reasonably accepted standards of validation. A
significant amount of Web material has been “published” by
individuals, without peer review or institutional affiliation.
Third, there exists a minimal collection structure or organi-
zation. The information retrieved by a researcher from the
Internet depends on the adequacy of the search engines and
Received March 5, 2001; Revised September 24, 2001; accepted No-
vember 30, 2001
© 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
Published online 6 February 2002 ● DOI: 10.1002/asi.10051
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN SOCIETY FOR INFORMATION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 53(5):397– 408, 2002