OPTION VOLUME AND
VOLATILITY RESPONSE TO
SCHEDULED ECONOMIC
NEWS RELEASES
JOHN R. NOFSINGER*
BRIAN PRUCYK
In this article, we examine the impact of 21 different types of scheduled
macroeconomic news announcements on S&P 100 stock-index option vol-
ume and implied volatility. We find that there is a 2-h delay after the
announcement before volume increases. However, there is an immediate
increase in volatility, which slowly dissipates over several hours. Further
analysis shows that most of the high volume and volatility after announce-
ments come from the announcements that are considered bad news. That
is, bad news creates high volatility and high volume, whereas good news
elicits lower volume and is not associated with higher volatility. These
results are not consistent with the predictions of any one model. We
also find that the announcements that cause the largest reaction in the
equity option market are Consumer Credit, Consumer Spending, Factory
We thank Stewart Mayhew, Clifford Sell, Andrew Spieler, two anonymous reviewers, and the semi-
nar participants at the Financial Management Association meetings and Marquette University for
helpful comments.
*Correspondence author, John R. Nofsinger, Department of Finance, College of Business and
Economics, Washington State University, Pullman, WA 99164-4746; john_nofsinger@wsu.edu; or
Brian Prucyk; e-mail: prucyk@biz.mu.edu
Received September 2000; Accepted September 2002
■ John R. Nofsinger is an assistant professor in the Department of Finance at the College
of Business and Economics at Washington State University in Pullman, Washington.
■ Brian Prucyk is an assistant professor in the Department of Finance at Marquette
University in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
The Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 23, No. 4, 315–345 (2003) © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI: 10.1002/fut.10064