INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
Int. J. Climatol. 20: 1743–1760 (2000)
REGIONAL VARIABILITY OF SEASONAL PRECIPITATION OVER
TURKEY
MIKDAT KADIOG LU*
Department of Meteorology, Istanbul Technical Uniersity, Maslak, 80626 Istanbul, Turkey
Receied 23 February 2000
Reised 30 May 2000
Accepted 6 June 2000
ABSTRACT
Principal components (PCs) of the parametric spatial Pearson and non-parametric Spearman rank correlation
matrices are used to depict the seasonal precipitation characteristics or features over Turkey. Eighty-five irregularly
scattered meteorology stations over Turkey were chosen to study the monthly totals of precipitation observed from
1931 to 1990 inclusive. There are similarities among the rotated and unrotated first four components of the seasonal
precipitation distributions. Meteorological processes, such as cyclonic storms during autumn and winter, are
represented by the first PC over the whole study region. The influences of continentality towards the inland in
Anatolia and the effect of mountains in the east of Turkey are shown by the second PC. The third PC explains the
marine influence of the surrounding seas on the precipitation. Finally, it is shown that in this study, a non-parametric
spatial correlation matrix produces quite similar fields with those of a parametric spatial correlation matrix.
Copyright © 2000 Royal Meteorological Society.
KEY WORDS: Turkey; principal component analysis; Pearson and Spearman correlations; precipitation; climatology
1. INTRODUCTION
Eigenvector analysis techniques, such as empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs), principal component
analysis (PCA) and common factor analysis (CFA) have been applied in meteorology/climatology
domains with increasing frequency to delineate patterns of temperature, pressure, drought, etc. (Gilman,
1957; Kutzbach, 1967, 1970). Principal components (PCs) are linear combinations of original variables,
such that each ordered function explains the maximum variance of the remaining variance. In meteorol-
ogy and climatology the variables can be grid points or station data fields of one or many weather
elements. The many procedural options that exist in eigenvector analysis may produce widely differing
results; examples include the selection of the dispersion matrices, such as correlation, covariance and
cross-product coefficients used to relate data in these analysis (Richman, 1986; White et al., 1991).
In many of these studies, the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient was selected as the type
of dispersion matrix. In order to obtain a classification, all station variability is placed on an equal basis
through the correlation function so that PCs would dissect the domain rather than the magnitudes of the
dispersion matrix. Pearson’s correlation is, however, quite sensitive to non-normality (Kowalski, 1972;
White et al., 1991). By using the Pearson correlation matrix they, therefore, assumed that the data used
is normally distributed. Because of this, in some of the studies, each individual station’s precipitation
distribution was examined by quantile – quantile (Q-Q) plots. These plots are, in fact, widely used in
statistics after Wilk and Gnanadesikan (1968) as a simple and effective tool for visualizing transforms
(Cleveland, 1993).
* Correspondence to: Department of Meteorology, Istanbul Technical University, Maslak, 80626 Istanbul, Turkey; e-mail:
kadioglu@itu.edu.tr
Copyright © 2000 Royal Meteorological Society