Optimizing Discharge Planning
Clinical Predictors of Longer Stay After Recombinant Tissue Plasminogen
Activator for Acute Stroke
Gustavo Saposnik, MD, MSc; Fiona Webster, MA;
Chris O’Callaghan, BAppSc; Vladimir Hachinski, MD, DSc, FRCPC
Background and Purpose—The length of stay (LOS) is the main cost-determining factor for inpatients with acute stroke.
Although studies have identified variables associated with LOS, few have analyzed predictors of longer stay after
receiving thrombolytic therapy for acute stroke.
Methods—We studied all consecutive acute stroke patients receiving intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator
(rtPA) admitted to the London Health Sciences Center, in London, Ontario, Canada, from 1999 to 2003. Longer stay
was defined as LOS 7 days after admission. Demographic as well as baseline clinical, laboratory, and imaging
variables were analyzed to identify predictors of LOS. Significant variables were entered into a multivariate logistic
regression analysis.
Results—Among 216 acute stroke patients receiving rtPA, the median LOS was 6 days. LOS was 7 days in 102 (49%)
patients. Age 70 (odds ratio [OR], 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2 to 4.0), lack of improvement at 24 hours (OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.4
to 4.4), prestroke modified Rankin Scale 2 (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.2 to 4.9), baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke
Scale score 15 (OR, 9.4; 95% CI, 3.2 to 27.6), cortical involvement (OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2 to 3.9), and new infarction
on the control computed tomography (CT; OR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.4 to 5.9) were independent predictors of longer stay.
Conclusions—Lack of improvement at 24 hours after rtPA, cortical involvement, and new infarction on the 24-hour CT
scan are relevant variables that can independently affect the LOS. These new variables may be useful for establishing
policy in relation to the organization and planning of the health care system. (Stroke. 2005;36:147-150.)
Key Words: complications
hospitalization
outcome
prognosis
stroke
thrombolytic therapy
tissue plasminogen activator
T
he length of stay (LOS) is the main cost-determining
factor during hospitalization.
1
The average LOS for
stroke varies among different countries, which may reflect the
impact of the differences in health care system organization.
For example, the LOS in the United States
2
for patients with
acute ischemic stroke ranges from 6 to 11 days compared
with much longer hospitalizations (17 to 26 days) in Canada,
3
Europe,
4
and Asia.
5
Information that can predict longer LOS
in stroke patients will be useful for clinical and systems
management, for example, as a marker for discharge plan-
ning, resource utilization, and cost implications.
6
Few articles
identify clinical factors associated with longer hospitalization
in stroke patients who receive thrombolytic therapy.
7,8
Most
articles concerning LOS take into account the perspective of
the administrators, are focused on costs, and do not neces-
sarily consider the clinical relevance of findings.
5
The aim of the present study was to determine clinical
predictors for longer hospitalization in stroke patients after
receiving recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA).
We hypothesized that (1) baseline clinical, imaging, or
laboratory factors are associated with LOS; and (2) these
factors are different from those described previously in the
prethrombolytic period or in patients not receiving rtPA.
Patients and Methods
We analyzed all consecutive acute stroke patients who received
rtPA. All patients were admitted to the London Health Sciences
Center, University Campus (LHSC-UC) in London between January
1999 and March 2003. London is the largest city in Southwestern
Ontario, with a population of 336 540 inhabitants (432 450 in the
metropolitan area). It has 2 academic medical centers with 24-hour
access to computed tomography (CT) and MRI. These academic
hospitals are a referral center for a large part of Ontario. In addition
to serving the local population, LHSC-UC receives acute stroke
referrals from 33 rural hospitals from 7 counties. Hospital charac-
teristics, population served, and catchment area were outlined in
previous articles.
9,10
Demographic variables, stroke severity at ad-
mission and at 24 hours, functional status at admission, comorbidity,
and outcomes were prospectively collected. Time of symptom onset
Received September 1, 2004; final revision received October 13, 2004; accepted October 19, 2004.
From the Stroke Program, Department of Clinical Neurological Sciences and Southwestern Ontario Coordinated Stroke Strategy, London Health
Science Center, The University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario.
Correspondence to Dr Gustavo Saposnik, 339 Windermere Rd, Stroke Service, Office 7-GE5, London Health Sciences Center, London, ON –N6A 5A5,
Canada. E-mail gsaposni@uwo.ca
© 2004 American Heart Association, Inc.
Stroke is available at http://www.strokeaha.org DOI: 10.1161/01.STR.0000150492.12838.66
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