A Latent Class Modeling Approach for Identifying Injury Severity Factors
and Individuals at High Risk of Death at Highway-Railway Crossings
Naveen ELURU
1
, Morteza BAGHERI
2
, Luis F. MIRANDA-MORENO
3
and Liping FU
4
1
Assistant Professor, McGill University, Department of Civil Engineering & Applied
Mechanics, 817 Sherbrooke Street W., Montreal, Quebec, H3A 2K6 ; PH +1-514-398-
6823; FAX +1-514-398-7361; email: naveen.eluru@mcgill.ca
2
Assistant Professor, Iran University of Science and Technology, School of Railway
Engineering, Tehran, Iran, 16846-13114; email: morteza.bagheri@gmail.com
3
Assistant Professor, McGill University, Department of Civil Engineering & Applied
Mechanics, 817 Sherbrooke Street W., Montreal, Quebec, H3A 2K6 ; PH +1- 514-
398-6589; FAX +1-514-398-7361; email: luis.miranda-moreno@mcgill.ca
4
Professor, University of Waterloo, Department of Civil Engineering & Environmental
Engineering, 200 University Avenue West, Waterloo, Ontario, N2L 3G1; PH +1-519-
888-4567 ext.33984; FAX +1-519-888-4349; email: lfu@uwaterloo.ca
ABSTRACT
The growing focus on improving railway freight transportation in North America
has resulted in increased attention to safety at highway-railway crossings (HRC).
Recently, federal government agencies such as US Federal Railroad Administration
(FRA) and Canadian Transportation Safety Board (TSB) have alluded to safety concerns
associated with HRC. Safety at HRCs are of considerable importance to the government
as well as the public due to the significant economic and emotional damages associated
with accidents at HRC. To address these safety concerns, transportation researchers are
focusing on developing countermeasures that enhance safety at HRC. Earlier research on
HRC safety has employed a risk based approach considering both frequency and
consequence; however, there has been very little research examining the consequence of
the collision. In this paper, we aim to identify the different factors that influence injury
severity of highway vehicle occupants, in particular drivers, involved in a vehicle-train
collision. The commonly used approach to modeling vehicle occupant injury severity is
the traditional ordered response model. However, the ordered response model restricts
the effect of various factors on injury severity to be constant across all accidents. It is
possible that accidents might be grouped (clustered) into different segments to
differentiate the effects of various factors at the segment level. The current research
effort proposes an innovative latent segmentation-based ordered response model to study
injury severity. In this case, individuals (drivers) are assigned probabilistically to
different segments with probability of getting injured specific to each segment. The
validity and strength of the formulated collision consequence model is tested using the
United States Federal Railroad Administration database which includes inventory data
of all the railroad crossings in the US and collision data at these HRC crossings from
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