Global Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics.
ISSN 0973-1768 Volume 12, Number 6 (2016), pp. 4959-4989
© Research India Publications
http://www.ripublication.com/gjpam.htm
Optimal Control Analysis of Cryptosporidiosis Disease
S.T. Ogunlade
African Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Senegal
K.O. Okosun
1
, R.S. Lebelo, and M. Mukamuri
Vaal University of Technology,
Vanderbijlpark, South Africa.
Abstract
In Sub-Saharan Africa, HIV/AIDS and chronic parasitic diseases (such as try-
panosomiasis, schistosomiasis, malaria, etc) have profound effect on the immune
system and alter the host’s immune response to infections, thereby paving way
for opportunistic parasitic infections (such as cryptosporidiosis, isosporiasis, mi-
crosporidiosis, etc) to attack. Hence, mathematical models provide a quantitative
and potentially valuable tool for this purpose. This paper therefore is to derive
and analyze a deterministic model for the transmission of cryptosporidiosis dis-
ease. The basic reproduction number, and the existence and stability of equilibria
were investigated. Firstly, we analyzed the model and investigated its stability and
bifurcation behaviour. In our findings, model exhibited a backward bifurcation
phenomenon. This has epidemiological implication, which means that for effective
eradication and control of the disease, bringing R0 less than unity was no longer
sufficient, but rather, that R
0
<R
0c
. Furthermore, we modified the model to incor-
porate susceptible individuals with weakened immune system. We then analyzed
the model and investigated its stability property, in order to determine the effect and
impact of individuals with weakened immune systems in the disease transmission.
From the sensitivity analysis, it was found that increase in the number of suscepti-
ble individuals with weak immune system increases the basic reproduction number.
AMS subject classification:
Keywords:
1
Corresponding Author - E-mail: kazeemoare@gmail.com