2016 International Conference on Emerging Technological Trends [ICETT]
Big Data Analytics of Smart Meter Data using
Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)
S.M. Sulaiman
Department of Computer Science and Engineering
Kalasalingam University
Anand Nagar, Krishnankoil, Tamil Nadu, India 626 126
Email: sul sm@yahoo.com
P. Aruna Jeyanthy and D. Devaraj
Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering
Kalasalingam University
Anand Nagar, Krishnankoil, Tamil Nadu, India 626 126
Email: arunadarwin@yahoo.com, deva230@yahoo.com
Abstract—The ever increasing human population and the as-
sociated demand for electricity have challenged the power sector
to modernize its equipment and operations. This renovation
activity has made the existing grid to incorporate Information
and Communication Technologies (ICT). Installation of Smart
Meter is one of the significant changes due to developments in the
power sector that establishes two-way communication between
the Utility and the consumers. The Smart meters collect data at
high velocity leading to tremendously huge volume of data and
have been classified as Big Data. Uncovering useful information
from these Smart Meter data is a Big Data challenge. In this
paper, Smart Meter data is used to forecast the average electricity
load for every hour on daily basis. The proposed method uses
Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) to predict the
load ahead of 24 hours from present day meter readings. The
experimental results are promising with the overall prediction
accuracy of 84.02%.
Keywords—Smart Meter, Big Data, Load Forecasting, ANFIS
I. I NTRODUCTION
E
Lectricity consumption is increasing day by day due to
growing global population. In order to meet the rising
electricity demand, power plants are now using conventional
energy sources such as coal, gas, oil and nuclear power. Most
of these energy sources produce carbon dioxide (CO
2
) as a
by product. According to [1], 25.9% of the carbon emission is
due to the use of high carbon fuels in these power plants. With
an effort to reduce (CO
2
) emission, many countries impose
strict regulations to the power sector to generate cleaner and
cheaper energy. One way to produce clean energy is the
use of renewable energy sources like solar and wind that
requires advanced power infrastructure which the existing grid
is lagging due to constructional deficiencies. Smart Grid is the
solution to solve the above mentioned problems.
Addition of ICT into the existing grid transforms the current
grid to Smart Grid, one that functions more cooperatively,
responsively and organically. The major driving factors for
today’s Smart Grid are:
• Capacity: Providing sufficient power supply to meet the
growing demand.
• Reliability: Continuous delivery of high-quality electrical
energy without any block-out.
• Efficiency: Ensuring less power generation loss, transmis-
sion loss and distribution loss in the entire grid system
• Sustainability: Incorporating renewable energy sources
into existing power grid
One of the important components of the Smart Grid is the
Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) an integrated system
of smart meters, communications networks, and data manage-
ment systems which enables two-way communication between
Utilities and consumers. Smart Meters offer collection of fine-
grained (usually every seconds or few minutes) energy con-
sumption data in an automated manner. The data accumulated
at very high velocity from these smart meters evolves into
Big Data. Retrieving useful information from these mountain
of data is a real challenge. In fact, a new area named Meter
Data Analytics (MDA) has received significant interest in the
research community [2], [3]. One of the significant features in
Meter Data Analytics is Load forecasting which predicts future
expected power demand based on past history of electrical
power consumption.
Load forecasting adds intelligence to the Smart Grid which
enables the Utilities to schedule the operations of power
generators. The consumers also benefit from forecasts to plan
their loads appropriately in the case of variable tariff based on
time of power consumption. The Smart Meter technology thus
leads to understanding of one’s energy consumption, demand
flexibility and better choices on tariff plans at the consumer
side. In order to prevent load shedding, Utilities can control the
operation of high power heating and cooling loads if granted
access to them by the customers.
The problem of load forecasting has received wide atten-
tion and there are many attempts to solve this issue since
1990 [4]. Several soft-computing techniques have been used
such as artificial neural network (ANN) [5]–[8], neuro-fuzzy
method [9] and fuzzy logic [10] to name a few. In addition,
some researchers have also used other techniques like time
series analysis [11] and support vector regression (SVR) [12].
However most of the earlier works had no access to fine
grained electrical consumption data from residential buildings
due to device limitations and the less frequent manual reading
habits.This paper works on a high volume, high resolution (two
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