Moving Beyond Counts: An Event-Based Analytical Paradigm for Measuring Changes in Terrorist Operational Effectiveness in Time & Space* John Hitzeman jhitzeman@isvg.org Institute for the Study of Violent Groups, University of New Haven 300 Boston Post Road West Haven, CT 06516 Tel: 203-479-4899 Daniel J. Mabrey dmabrey@isvg.org Institute for the Study of Violent Groups University of New Haven 300 Boston Post Road West Haven, CT 06516 Tel: 203-936-7150 1 July 2010 *Hitzeman is IT Coordinator at the Institute for the Study of Violent Groups and a graduate student in the National Security Program at the University of New Haven. Mabrey is Executive Director and Assistant Professor of Criminal Justice.