ScienceDirect
IFAC-PapersOnLine 48-3 (2015) 972–976
Available online at www.sciencedirect.com
2405-8963 © 2015, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Peer review under responsibility of International Federation of Automatic Control.
10.1016/j.ifacol.2015.06.209
© 2015, IFAC (International Federation of Automatic Control) Hosting by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: risk management, transition, energy efficiency, renewable energy, production, sustainability.
1. INTRODUCTION
The energy transition get more noticed due to the increasing
concerns about the future availability of energy based on
fossil fuels and the impact of its usage on the environment
(FOUQUET, 2010). The increase of oil and gas reserves are
conditioning to exploitation in increasingly difficult areas
(unconventional sources and pre-salt). Further, the
exploitation of these resources are more expensive, has
higher emissions of greenhouse gases, and is more dangerous
for the environment compared with conventional sources
(FARRELL & BRANDT, 2006, GREENE et al., 2006,
MOHR & EVANS, 2010). Therefore, there are growing calls
for fossil fuels being replaced by alternative sources of
energy that are cleaner and renewable.
The uncertainties involve in an implementation of a project,
are systemic taken in risk management actions. Measure such
data is important to ensure that the project objectives are
achieved, especially those related to: time, cost and quality.
The drive on risk management can be applied to all aspects of
business and all areas of activity (WIDEMAN, 1992). Thus,
it is essential to analyze the risks associated with managing
the supply chain, by viability studies of projects for energy
transition, and then be analyzed the possible paths towards
sustainability.
The production costs of clean and renewable energies are still
high and the profitability margins of this market is small,
generally. In the other hand, the demand for oil production is
increasing, either through unconventional sources or
reactivation of mature fields, which are considered
economically marginal. How to seek sustainability in a
planned manner, meeting the needs of consumption, and
respecting the environment?
The objective of this study is to analyze the energy transition,
and how this consumer demand is in favor of reactivation of
inactive areas producing oil, considering the sustainability
reports, and also reports from large companies in the sector
who are making studies in the transition area. The reality of
Brazil will be the basis for discussion of this last point. There,
will be discussed the main risks associated with supply chain
in energy transition projects. Lastly, the points that need
consideration in this topic will be presented.
2. TRANSITION ENERGY
The interest on the energy transition topic has grown
significantly in recent years due to increasing preoccupation
about the impact of the production and use of energy from
fossil fuels to the environment (AHMAD et al, 2014).
Abstract: The energy transition and reactivation of mature oil fields may even being seem as bipolar
topics, within the theme of energy. However, regarding to the sustainability, these topics can be analyzed
in parallel to the approach to the inherent risks involved in the supply chain, associated with energy
transition. This study talks about the energy transition, connecting the risks associated with its
implementation (focusing on supply chain) and discusses how adversely the promotion and reactivation
of inactive areas are affecting or contributing to advances in sustainability discussions. Studies out of
international agencies reports of energy and sustainability were made, also from organizational reports
applied to the energy transition, and scenery analysis of the reactivation of producing oil fields,
considered economically marginal.
RISKS ASSOCIATED TO THE ENERGY TRANSITION, AND THE
REACTIVATION OF MATURE OIL FIELDS.
Eduardo Oliveira Teles*, Denise Mangabeira Grassi**, Ednildo Andrade Torres***
and Francisco Gaudêncio M. Freires****
* Postgraduate Program in Industrial Engineering – PEI, Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil and Federal
Institute of Education, Science and Technology of Bahia(IFBA-Camaçari), Camaçari, Brazil (Phone: 55(71)9253-1654; e-
mail:eoteles@gmail.com )
** Graduate student Production Engineering from the Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Brazil
(Phone: 55(71) 9962-2155; e-mail: dgrassieng@gmail.com)
*** Postgraduate Program in Industrial Engineering – PEI, Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil (Phone:
55(71) 3283.980; e-mail: ednildotorres@gmail.com)
**** Postgraduate Program in Industrial Engineering - PEI, Federal University
of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil (Phone: 55(71)91067494; e-mail: gaudenciof@yahoo.com).