Intergenerational Correlation of Effective Family Size in Early
Que ´ bec (Canada)
ALAIN GAGNON
1
* AND EVELYNE HEYER
2
1
Programme de recherche en de ´mographie historique (PRDH), De ´partement de de ´mographie,
Universite ´ de Montre ´al, Succ. Centre-Ville, Montre ´al, Que ´bec, Canada
2
CNRS—Laboratoire d’anthropologie biologique, Muse ´e de l’Homme, Paris, France
ABSTRACT The use of a comprehensive demographic database of the early French Canadian
population (1608–1800) reveals an almost null impact of parents’ fertility on children’s fertility (r
0.01–0.05), which contradicts the commonly held view that family size has a tendency to run in
families. However, in this population, there is a clear transmission from one generation to the next of
the effective family size within a given geographical area (EFS, defined as the number of children that
settle per settled individual). Three types of correlations between EFS of parents and children are
presented in order to account for the impact of socio-demographic differentials. Individuals who
belong to a large sibship and who settled in a given subdivision tend to encourage the settlement of
a high number of their own children in the same subdivision (r 0.1–0.3). An additional correlation
was introduced to see if geographically-based differentials of EFS can account for the differential of
founders’ regional genetic contribution. The analysis shows that EFS correlation has a definite impact
on the concentration of a population’s gene pool (it increases it by 20%–45%), and partly accounts for
the differences between subdivisions in this regard. Am. J. Hum. Biol. 13:645–659, 2001.
© 2001 Wiley-Liss, Inc.
In many studies, positive correlations
have been reported between the number of
children born to a family and the number of
children within the husband’s and/or wife’s
family. In other words, it appears that fam-
ily size has a tendency to run in families.
This phenomenon was first interpreted as
evidence of the inheritance of fecundity (i.e.,
biological capacity to reproduce), and at-
tempts have been made to assess the contri-
bution of inheritance to the total variation
in individual reproduction. The earliest
study goes back to the turn of the century
when Pearson et al. (1899) used records of
the British peerage to investigate fertility
correlations. Working with several thou-
sand pairs of mothers and daughters, they
found a positive correlation between daugh-
ters and mothers in fertility, which was in-
terpreted as an inherited capacity to repro-
duce. Some 30 years later, Fisher (1930)
used these data to estimate the genetic vari-
ance in fertility and concluded that about
40% of the observed variance in fertility was
due to heredity.
However, from a re-examination of Pear-
son’s data, Williams and Williams (1974)
have shown that secular change, i.e., emer-
gence of birth control practices, contributed
significantly to the correlation between sib-
ship size and progeny number. They con-
cluded that attempts to measure the heri-
table component in fertility are neither
valid nor reliable because of the overwhelm-
ing contribution of the social environment to
fertility in human populations. These con-
clusions were reinforced by Langford and
Wilson (1985), who, using 16
th
- to 19
th
-cen-
tury family reconstitutions of seven British
parishes, showed that there was no evi-
dence for the transmission of fecundity.
Concomitant with this failure to identify
an underlying biological determinant of in-
tergenerational fertility, there has been a
shift toward concern with socioeconomic fac-
tors that affect the transmission of fertility
behavior (Ben-Porath, 1975; Johnson and
Stokes, 1976; Thornton, 1980; Thornton et
al., 1986). Among cohorts of marriages
where the prevalence of birth control could
be assumed, a certain traditional continuity
in family-building habits was also offered as
an explanation of fertility differentials
(Anderton et al., 1987).
In summary, it appears that when paren-
tal family size exerts a definite, even small,
differentiating effect on fertility (i.e., the de-
*Correspondence to: Alain Gagnon, Laboratoire d’anthro-
pologie biologique, Muse ´e de l’Homme, 17 Place du Trocade ´ro,
75016 Paris, France. E-mail: gagnoal@mnhn.fr
Received 31 July 2000; Revision received 30 January 2001;
Accepted 31 January 2001
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF HUMAN BIOLOGY 13:645–659 (2001)
© 2001 Wiley-Liss, Inc.
PROD #M20057R2