Farmers' intention and decision to adapt to climate change: A case
study in the Yom and Nan basins, Phichit province of Thailand
Noppol Arunrat
a, b
, Can Wang
a, c, *
, Nathsuda Pumijumnong
b
, Sukanya Sereenonchai
b, d
,
Wenjia Cai
c
a
State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control (SKLESPC), School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing,100084, China
b
Faculty of Environment and Resource Studies, Mahidol University, Nakhon Pathom, 73170, Thailand
c
Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
d
Institute of Communication Studies (ICS), Communication University of China, Dingfuzhuang East Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100024, China
article info
Article history:
Received 9 August 2016
Received in revised form
20 October 2016
Accepted 12 December 2016
Available online 21 December 2016
Keywords:
Climate change
Adaptation
Intention
Communication
Logistic regression model
Theory of planned behavior
abstract
Adaptation at farm level is an effective measure to cope with global climate change. The study aims to
clarify farmers' intentions and decisions regarding global climate change adaptation. Logistic regression
models were used to examine the influences of socioeconomic factors and climate adaptation commu-
nication processes on farmers' decision to apply adaptation strategies against drought and flood. Spe-
cifically, for a thorough understanding of non-adapting farmers, the theory of planned behavior was
incorporated, to assess these farmers' intention to adaptation. Results showed that farmers' perceptions
were consistent with the weather data over a short period, reporting a rise in temperature and a greater
decrease in precipitation. Agricultural experience, farm income, training, social capital, and effective
climate adaptation communication were statistically significant in increasing the probability of farmers'
adaptation. For farmers who do not perceive climate change but adapted nonetheless, social capital
played a major factor, driving their belief in, and behavior to adaptation, of which the most important
aspects were neighbors and peer groups. Farmers' intention to adapt was mostly affected by perceived
behavioral control factors, followed by attitude and subjective norms. Therefore, successful policies to
enhance farmers' perceptions and adaptive capacity can encourage both actual and intended adaptation
farmers. Adaptation strategies require the participation of multiple players from all related sectors
engaging with local communities and farmers.
© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Climate change damages farming productivity and the success
of agricultural initiatives (Mikhail et al., 2010). In particular, pre-
cipitation, and temperature changes present the main risk,
increasing extreme climatic events, such as floods and droughts
worldwide (Petley, 2012). Southeast Asian countries, such as
Thailand, are already experiencing climate change and the
increased frequency of climate-related hazards, like droughts and
floods, which have resulted in substantial impacts in many areas
(Ono et al., 2010). In 2010, Thailand faced its worst drought in the
past 20 years, leading to the lowest water level of the Mekong River
in 50 years (Marks, 2011). In 2011, the greatest flood recorded in
Thailand struck the Chao Phraya basin and caused tremendous
damage in northern and central Thailand (Komori et al., 2012).
Empirical evidence proves that climate change adaptation enables
a reduction in its impacts, the protection of poorer farmers' liveli-
hoods, and the enhancement of possible potential advantages
(Gandure et al., 2013). Consequently, appropriate adaptation stra-
tegies and support policies are crucial to anticipate the nature of
expected changes, and to understand how climate change and its
associated hazards are perceived, experienced, and responded by
local farmers.
Farmers' adaptation to climate change, behavior and decision
making can be affected by socioeconomic factors, which have been
investigated in various countries (Beermann, 2011; Mariano et al.,
2012; Figueiredo and Perkins, 2013; Tessema et al., 2013;
Wamsler et al., 2013; Duan and Hu, 2014; Obayelu et al., 2014;
* Corresponding author. State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation
and Pollution Control (SKLESPC), School of Environment, Tsinghua University,
Beijing, 100084, China.
E-mail address: canwang@tsinghua.edu.cn (C. Wang).
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Journal of Cleaner Production
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/jclepro
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.12.058
0959-6526/© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Journal of Cleaner Production 143 (2017) 672e685