Research Article
Published online 25 November 2009 in Wiley Online Library
(wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/qre.1081
Stress Test Optimization Using an Integrated
Production Test and Field Reliability Model
Bahman Honari,
a ∗ †
John Donovan,
b
Toby Joyce,
c
Simon Wilson
d
and Eamonn Murphy
a
Numerous papers and texts have been written in the reliability literature regarding the determination of the optimum
test duration for a production stress or a burn-in test. The techniques presented have largely been based on the
identification of the change point at which infant mortality has largely been removed from the units. The time-on-test
is typically the only factor that influences this decision. Few of these models have attempted to integrate the field
performance or the influence of warranty costs into this decision. This paper proposes and validates a methodology
that integrates the influence of the production test failures and the field performance including their respective costs
into a single unified model. The objective is to identify a production test duration that minimizes the overall cost.
A Weibull model is initially developed for the production test that incorporates the failure observations in different
time segments of the test based on the ability to detect latent defects in the product. A separate Weibull model is
then developed for the product’s performance in the field that includes the lifetime of the unit. This paper identifies
how both these Weibull models can be combined into a single model including both test and field costs with the
objective of minimizing the overall cost. The advantage of the proposed technique is that it does not require one
to track individual units from production through to the field in order to develop an integrated test and field cost
model. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords: Weibull model; environmental stress testing; test optimization
1. Introduction
1.1. Background
E
arly field failures of a product can reduce the customer satisfaction level and increase warranty and compensation costs.
These failures are commonly caused by latent defects, which are supposed to be detected during the production and
Environmental Stress Testing (EST). This test is typically performed before sending the units to the field in an effort to
improve the product’s reliability.
Temperature cycling during the EST is one of the most commonly used test procedures. As it is an expensive and energy-
intensive procedure, it is desirable to reduce the test duration and optimize the test regime so as to reduce the overall test
cost. A lengthy test is often initially recommended for a new product but is based on the product’s test performance or possible
manufacturing process modifications; the expectation is that the test duration and regime may be reduced over time.
Numerous papers and texts have been written in the reliability literature regarding the determination of the optimum test
duration for a production stress or burn-in test. The techniques that are used to determine the optimum test duration have
largely been based on the identification of the change point at which infant mortality has been removed from the units (see
Jensen and Petersen
1
). The time-on-test has typically been the only factor that influences this decision. Dalal and Mallows
2
have
proposed several graphical procedures that are easy to implement. Readers are referred to Meeker and Escobar
3
for a good
summary of the models used in the accelerated testing and to Block and Savits
4
for an extensive review on mixture models and
cost models used in the determination of the optimum test time.
a
CTVR
‡
, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Limerick, Ireland
b
School of Engineering, Institute of Technology Sligo, Ireland
c
Alcatel-Lucent Technologies, Blanchardstown, Dublin, Ireland
d
Department of Statistics, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
∗
Correspondence to: Bahman Honari, CTVR, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Limerick, Ireland.
†
E-mail: bahman.honari@ul.ie
‡
Center for Telecommunications Value-chain Research.
Contract/grant sponsor: Science Foundation Ireland; contract/grant number: 03/CE3/1405
Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Qual. Reliab. Engng. Int. 2010, 26 579--592
579