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Cost-effectiveness of screening for anal precancers
in HIV-positive men
Jonathan M.C. Lam
a
, Jeffrey S. Hoch
a,d,e
, Jill Tinmouth
a,b,c
,
Marie Sano
b
, Janet Raboud
a,b
and Irving E. Salit
a,b
Objective: To assess the cost-effectiveness of high-resolution anoscopy (HRA), anal
cytology, and anal human papillomavirus (HPV) detection in screening for histologic
high-grade anal intraepithelial neoplasia (AIN 2/3) in HIV-positive MSM.
Design: Participants were 401 HIV-positive MSM who were screened for anal cancer in
a tertiary care HIV clinic.
Methods: A decision analytical model was used to determine the cost-effectiveness of
three anal cancer screening strategies: the direct use of HRA; HRA only if anal cytology
was abnormal; and HRA only if oncogenic HPV was present. The model included the
use of different thresholds for abnormal cytology and also combined cytology and HPV
testing. The outcome was the number of AIN 2/3 cases detected. Costs were estimated
from institutional data and sensitivity/specificity of cytology and HPV tests were
obtained from the screening study.
Results: The costs ($ US) per procedure for HRA, cytology, and HPV testing were $193,
$90, and $95, respectively. The direct use of HRA was the most cost-effective strategy. It
detected 98 individuals with AIN 2/3 and had a cost-effectiveness of $809 per AIN 2/3
case detected. Using probabilistic sensitivity analysis, three other strategies had similar
costs per case detected and might be as cost-effective as HRA.
Conclusion: In HIV-infected MSM, the direct use of HRA is the most cost-effective
strategy for detecting AIN 2/3. The higher cost per use for HRA was offset by the high
sensitivity and low specificity of HPV and cytology testing.
ß 2011 Wolters Kluwer Health | Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
AIDS 2011, 25:635–642
Keywords: anal cancer, anal dysplasia, cost-effectiveness analysis,
high-resolution anoscopy, human papillomavirus
Background
The incidence rate of anal cancer in the general
population is low (approximately 1/100 000) [1,2], but
it occurs at much higher rates in HIV-positive MSM
(approximately 60–160/100 000) [3,4]. Although it is not
a priority to screen the general population for anal cancer
due to its low incidence rate, in the HIV-positive MSM
population screening could potentially be cost-effective
given that the anal cancer rate in that group is comparable
to the rate of cervical cancer in women prior to the
initiation of routine screening [5]. Similar to cervical
cancer, anal cancer is caused by the human papillomavirus
(HPV) [6,7], which can lead to precancerous dysplastic
changes in the squamo-columnar transition zone with
possible progression to cancer [8]. Because of the
similarities between cervical and anal cancer, the same
screening techniques used in the detection of cervical
cancer and its precursors can be employed for anal cancer.
The potential screening techniques might include the use
of high-resolution anoscopy (HRA) with directed biopsy,
HPV detection, and cytologic sampling using Papanico-
laou (Pap) tests [9–11]. HRA is considered the gold
standard for the detection of high-grade dysplasia
a
University of Toronto,
b
University Health Network, Toronto General Hospital,
c
Sunnybrook Medical Centre,
d
St Michael’s
Hospital, and
e
Cancer Care Ontario, Toronto, Canada.
Correspondence to Irving E. Salit, MD, Toronto General Hospital, Eaton 13N-215, 200 Elizabeth Street, Toronto, M5G 2C4 ON,
Canada.
E-mail: irving.salit@uhn.on.ca
Received: 20 August 2010; revised: 25 November 2010; accepted: 27 November 2010.
DOI:10.1097/QAD.0b013e3283434594
ISSN 0269-9370 Q 2011 Wolters Kluwer Health | Lippincott Williams & Wilkins
635