International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 05 Issue: 02 | Feb-2018 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2018, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 6.171 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 1206
Trend of surface temperature in the Konkan region of Maharashtra
S. H. Jedhe
1
, U. S. Kadam
2
, M. S. Mane
3
, D. M. Mahale
4
and S. B. Nandgude
5
1,2&,3
Dept. of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, CAET, DBSKKV, Dapoli, MH, India
4&5
Dept. of soil and water conservation Engineering, CAET, DBSKKV, Dapoli, MH, India
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Abstract - Change in climate have significant impact on
Agriculture and water resources which affect the livelihood of
millions of peoples especially along the coastal line such as
Konkan region of Maharashtra state. Despite of study area
having coastal line throughout the Konkan region surface
temperature has varied from place to place even within the
region. Assessment of temperature trend in the region is key
component for water resource planning and management
point of view. Konkan region of Maharashtra state extent from
15
0
ͼ’ N to 0
0
’ N latitude and ͽ
0
Ϳ’ E to ͽ
0
ͺ;’ E
longitudes. In the present study, surface temperature data for
selected study stations have been analyzed to detect trend.
Study focus on the spatio-temporal trends of monthly
minimum and maximum temperature in the Konkan region.
Trend analysis has been exercised by using non-parametric
Mann-Kendall test to assess nature of trend and magnitude of
trend was estimated by using Sen’s slope test. Results of the
analysis was also tested for 90, 95 and 99 per cent confidence
level. Results revealed that monthly minimum and maximum
temperature exhibited significant trends at more number of
stations in the month of August and February, respectively.
Minimum and maximum temperature in the region were
affected significantly, which increased diurnal temperature
range. Results also indicate that climatic suitability for mango
and cashew crop is reducing in the region day by day due to
significant variation in the minimum and maximum surface
temperature.
Key Words: Mann Kendall, Sen’s slope, Spatio-temporal,
Trend, Temperature
1.INTRODUCTION
Climate change is the shifting of climatic and meteorological
parameters, while global warming or cooling, which refers
the change of surface temperature at regional or national
level. A number of studies were concentrated on impact
assessment of climate change and variability on different
components of hydrologic cycle. In the most recent studies, it
is observed that significant warming in the second half of the
20th century resulted in a drastic change in the hydrology of
an agricultural based country like India (IPCC, 2007). In
India magnitude and trend of warming is matching with the
global condition during the last century. Spatial and
temporal pattern and variability of temperature over the
region plays a vital role in modelling miscellaneous
processes in hydrology, climatology, agriculture,
environmental engineering, and forestry both at local and
global levels (Anandhi et al., 2009; Tabari et al., 2011;
Padmakumari et al., 2013). Among the various dominant
atmospheric variables, temperature has a significant and
direct effect on almost all hydrologic variables (Sonali and
Kumar, 2013). The change in temperature more badly affects
the rainfed agriculture and major part of Indian agriculture
is comes under rainfed category. Rainfed agriculture
dominates the food grain production chain of Konkan region
during rainy season. Any abrupt change in surface
temperature patterns poses a serious threat to food and
environmental security of the entire region. Increase in the
surface temperature results in increase in crop water
requirement and decrease in its supply (Sonali and Kumar,
2013; Milly and Dunne, 2001). Increase in global surface
temperature leads to drastic variation in hydrologic
parameters such as evaporation and precipitation resulting
in cumulative effect on river flow at basin, regional and
country level (Zhang et al., 2001; Burn and Hag, 2002; Xiong
and Shenglian, 2004; Padmakumari, et al., 2013). The effects
of climate change specifically increase in minimum and
maximum surface temperature of the region showed a
significant impact on the production, productivity and
quality of the mango (Alphanso), cashew and some dominant
vegetable in the region (Datta, 2013). Water management
practices may be less effective due to global warming and
climate change, which widening gap between supply and
demand. This indicates proper planning and management of
water resource is crucial parameter (Jhajharia et al., 2015).
Increasing surface temperature may have adverse effect on
the human health also (Jhajharia and Singh, 2011). Crop
stages changes from month to month and annual as well as
seasonal assessment is not clear incites to know actual crop
stage-wise situation. Therefore, in the present study monthly
trends of surface minimum and maximum temperature was
assessed.
1.1 Features of study area
The Konkan region is coastal part of Maharashtra covering
total geographical area of 3.09 Mha. The Konkan region lies
between ͳͷͲ’ N to ʹͲͲʹʹ’ N latitude and ʹͲ͵ͻ’ E to ͵ͲͶͺ’
E longitudes, falls under heavy rainfall and hilly region. The
annual precipitation in the region ranges from 2500 mm to
4500 mm (Mandale et al., 2016). The ambient temperature
varies between 13.50C and 38.50C and relative humidity
varies from 55 per cent to 99 per cent in the region (Gaikwad,
2013). Geographical location, data availability and source of
data for all study stations are presented in Table 1 and shown
in the Figure 1.