World Journal of Agricultural Research, 2017, Vol. 5, No. 2, 102-110
Available online at http://pubs.sciepub.com/wjar/5/2/6
©Science and Education Publishing
DOI:10.12691/wjar-5-2-6
Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Yields
in South Gonder Zone, Ethiopia
Birhan Getachew
*
Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Debre Tabor, Debre Tabor, Ethiopia
*Corresponding author: birhangt88@gmail.com
Abstract Agriculture is the most susceptible sector to climate change related hazards. This is due to the fact that
climate change affects the two most important direct agricultural production inputs and these are precipitation and
temperature. The impacts of climate change on crop production and coping mechanism differ from place to place
which is situated in different agro-ecological zones. Therefore, this study analyzed the impacts of climate change on
crop yields in three purposively selected woreda’s of south Gonder Zone. Primary and secondary data were used for
the study. In this paper, climate data were taken from Bahir Dar Meteorological Agency (BDMA) while crop yield
data were obtained from South Gonder Zone Agricultural Development Office (SGZADO). The data were analyzed
using SPSS version 20.0 and Microsoft Excel in order to evaluate the impact of climate change on the yields of
different crops in South Gonder Zone, Ethiopia. Multiple regression, trend analysis and correlation analytical
techniques were used to anlyze the data. The result showed that the annual total rainfall and mean annual
temperature have been increased by an average of 126.52mm (p<0.01) and 0.531°C (P<0.01) per year respectively
for Addis Zemen Station. This confirms the occurrence of global warming at Addis Zemen station. An increasing
trend of crop yield data for rice, teff and maize were observed from 2003-2012 for Addis Zemen station while an
increasing trend of crop yield data for teff, wheat, barley, maize, bean and pea have been observed from 2003-2012
for Mekane Eyesus stations. The result obtained from the analysis carried out indicated that the impact of rainfall,
minimum and maximum temperature have been statistically insignificant except rainfall against teff, minimum
temperature for teff and chickpea crops and maximum temperature for wheat, barley and pea cereal crops at 95%
and 99% probability level whereas the impact of climate on the yield of rice, maize,sorghum, bean and cowpea have
been statistically insignificant. Efforts should be made to increase the cultivation of crops on which the impacts of
climate on their yield is insignificant.
Keywords: agriculture, climate, crops, yield, south gonder zone
Cite This Article: Birhan Getachew, “Impacts of Climate Change on Crop Yields in South Gonder Zone,
Ethiopia.” World Journal of Agricultural Research, vol. 5, no. 2 (2017): 102-110. doi: 10.12691/wjar-5-2-6.
1. Background
Agriculture is the most susceptible sector to climate
change related hazards. This is due to the fact that climate
change affects the two most important direct agricultural
production inputs and these are precipitation and
temperature [1]. Although the effects of changes in
climate on crop yields are likely to vary greatly from
region to region, anticipated changes are expected to have
large and far-reaching effects predominantly in tropical
zones of the developing world with precipitation regimes
ranging from semiarid to humid [2]. Hazards include
increased flooding in low lying areas, greater frequency
and severity of droughts in semiarid areas, and excessive
heat conditions, all of which can limit crop growth and
yields. As temperatures continue to rise, the impacts on
agriculture will be significant [3]. These impacts are
already being experienced by many communities in
countries of the Southern hemisphere. There will also be
an increase in droughts and heavy precipitation events,
which will further damage crops through crop failure,
flooding, soil and wind erosion [4].
Agriculture is extremely vulnerable to climate change.
Higher temperatures eventually reduce yields of desirable
crops while encouraging weed and pest proliferation.
Changes in precipitation patterns increase the likelihood
of short-run crop failures and long-run production declines.
Although there will be gains in some crops in some
regions of the world, the overall impacts of climate change
on agriculture are expected to be negative, threatening
global food security [5]. According to [6] predict an
overall reduction of 10 percent in maize production in the
year 2055 in Africa and Latin America, equivalent to
losses of $2 billion per year, affecting principally 40
million poor livestock keepers in mixed systems of Latin
America and 130 million in those of sub-Saharan Africa.
Climate change is an important environmental, social
and economic issue. It threatens the achievement of
Millennium Development Goals aimed at poverty and
hunger reduction, health improvement and environmental
sustainability. Such issues are particularly important for
Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where many people depend on