Assessing and mapping human well-being for sustainable
development amid flood hazards: Poyang Lake Region of China
Qing Tian
a, *
, Daniel G. Brown
b
, Shuming Bao
c
, Shuhua Qi
d
a
Department of Computational Social Science, George Mason University, 4400 University Drive, Fairfax, VA 22030, USA
b
School of Natural Resources and Environment, University of Michigan, 440 Church St., Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA
c
China Data Center, University of Michigan,1007 E Huron St., Ann Arbor, MI 48104, USA
d
Key Laboratory of Poyang Lake Wetland and Watershed Research, Ministry of Education, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang 330022, China
article info
Article history:
Received 8 January 2015
Received in revised form
16 June 2015
Accepted 16 June 2015
Available online xxx
Keywords:
Human well-being
Sustainable development
GIS
Quantitative assessment
Less developed rural areas
Climatic hazards
abstract
Less developed places that are affected by climatic impacts face great challenges to future development.
Place-based assessments that look at both the development level and climatic impacts on development
are important for understanding the current state of human well-being and generating insights into how
to facilitate sustainable development in the future. We carry out an assessment of human well-being in
the Poyang Lake Region of China (PLR), using GIS, remote sensing, and socio-economic data. We measure
human well-being in three aspects of (i) development level, (ii) exposure of development to flooding, and
(iii) sensitivity of development to flooding. Following the United Nations Development Programme's
human development index, we examine development through measures of life expectancy, literacy, and
income. We first use a digital elevation model and GIS data on levees to map flood hazard in PLR. Based
on the flood hazard map, we then derive quantitative measures of exposure and sensitivity of the
development in a town to flooding. Our assessment indicates that development in PLR overall is highly
exposed and sensitive to flooding. There are significant variations in different aspects of human well-
being among the 298 towns in the region. These variations suggest different sustainable development
pathways and policy interventions for different places. We discuss the potential usefulness of our
approach for other similar places.
© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
Less developed places that are affected by climatic hazards face
great challenges to future development. While improving devel-
opment levels in the developing world has proved to be difficult in
general (Collier, 2007; UNDP, 1990e2014; World Bank, 2002),
extreme climatic events impose an additional constraint on
development in such places (Adger, Huq, Brown, Conway, & Hulme,
2003, 2006; Kates, 2000; Kates & Dasgupta, 2007; Takeuchi &
Aginam, 2011). Meaningful place-based assessments that examine
development and climatic impacts on development in an integra-
tive manner are important for understanding the current state of
human well-being and can suggest where and how to make ad-
justments or improvements in the future, facilitating sustainable
development.
A number of assessment frameworks that are relevant to
development and climatic impacts have been used in the literature.
The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) has used the
Human Development Index (HDI) to assess human development
for its annual human development reports since 1990 (UNDP,
1990e2014). HDI combines variables that represent life expec-
tancy, literacy, and income to measure human development in a
country. Though the specific indicators and methods that UNDP
uses to calculate HDI have been evolving over time, life expectancy,
literacy, and income remain to be the three key dimensions of
human development in HDI. These three dimensions of HDI have
also been applied to examining human development at other levels
than countries (Beavon & Cooke, 2003; Harttgen & Klasen, 2012;
Kumar, 1991; Song & Ma, 2004; Thapa, 1995). In natural hazard
research, context-based environmental hazard mapping is often
performed to assess the impacts of exposure to climatic hazards
(Apel, Thieken, Merz, & Bl€ oschl, 2004; Büchele et al., 2006; Meyer,
Scheuer, & Haase, 2009). Such assessments place an emphasis on
* Corresponding author. Research Hall, Room 374, 4400 University Drive, MS 6B2,
Fairfax, VA 22030, USA.
E-mail address: qtian2@gmu.edu (Q. Tian).
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Applied Geography
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/apgeog
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.06.007
0143-6228/© 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Applied Geography 63 (2015) 66e76