http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/index.asp 11 editor@iaeme.com
International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET)
Volume 9, Issue 1, January 2018, pp. 11–21, Article ID: IJCIET_09_01_002
Available online at http://http://www.iaeme.com/ijciet/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=9&IType=1
ISSN Print: 0976-6308 and ISSN Online: 0976-6316
© IAEME Publication Scopus Indexed
HYBRID TECHNIQUE BETWEEN DESIGN OF
EXPERIMENTS AND ARTIFICIAL NEURAL
NETWORKS FOR RAINFALL-RUNOFF MODEL
CALIBRATION METHOD
L. Rahmanadi
BWS-NT1, Department of Public Works and Public Housing - 83125, NTB, Indonesia
H. Sulistiyono
Faculty of Engineering, University of Mataram - 83125, NTB, Indonesia
ABSTRACT
Calibration is one of standard procedures to be conducted before the application
of hydrology models. Some rainfall-runoff models have many model parameters which
cause more difficulties and require longer time in the calibration processes. This
paper illustrates the application of a proposed hybrid technique between Design of
Experiments (DOE) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) for calibrating the
parameters of rainfall-runoff models. The DOE is used to select the appropriate
sample experiments based on the range of model parameters, and the ANN is used to
optimize the value of model parameters. A Mock rainfall-runoff model was used to
illustrate the application of the proposed technique. As the model has six model
parameters, the model calibration requires 32 runs in the linear full factorial design
experiments or 77 runs in the curvature full factorial design experiments. The error
back-propagation technique (BP) was utilized in this approach to synthesize the
suitable networks for reflecting the relationships between goodness-of-fit criterion, the
sum of absolute errors as the inputs and model-parameters as the outputs. Standard
statistical techniques of goodness of fit, such as the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency, NSE and
the sum of absolute error, |E| were used to measure the differences between simulated
and observed runoffs. Observed runoff and climatic data, including rainfall from
1990 to 2010 for the Babak River Basin in Lombok, Indonesia were used in the
calibration process; while, data from 2011 to 2016 were used for verification of the
model. The results indicate the proposed technique gave more accurate calibrated
parameters than the trial-and-error method. In addition, the proposed method
requires less time for model calibration. The application of the proposed technique is
not limited for calibrating rainfall-runoff models; however, it can be used to calibrate
any kind of mathematical models.
Key words: ANN, DOE, Calibration Method, and Rainfall-Runoff Model.