ARTICLES
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-017-0002-z
© 2018 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved.
1
Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore.
2
Institute for Environmental Decisions, Department of
Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
3
International Centre for Aceh and Indian Ocean Studies, Banda Aceh, Indonesia.
4
Department of Statistics, Syiah Kuala University, Banda Aceh, Indonesia. *e-mail: jmccaughey@ntu.edu.sg; jmccaughey@usys.ethz.ch
B
eyond the immediate destruction and loss of life, disasters can
influence long-term social and economic development
1–5
, with
the well-being of the poor affected most severely
6
. The inter-
national disaster-risk-reduction community has long argued that
reducing societal vulnerability to hazards is a key component of
sustainable development
7
, a view repeatedly endorsed by United
Nations member states in the Hyogo and Sendai Frameworks
8
.
In post-disaster contexts, the widely adopted ‘build-back-better’
approach promotes sustainable development through integrating a
wide range of vulnerability reduction measures into reconstruction
and rehabilitation efforts
8
.
However, measures intended to reduce people’s vulnerability
to natural hazards may entail difficult trade-offs against other fac-
tors that influence people’s vulnerabilities to a wider set of shocks.
Such trade-offs are particularly salient in the decision of where to
rebuild after a disaster. Although rebuilding in areas less exposed
to hazards reduces vulnerability to those hazards, mass relocation
projects often have negative social impacts on people’s livelihoods,
land rights and community cohesion
9–13
. Given this difficult trade-
off, the humanitarian sector has come to favour rebuilding in-place
in order to avoid the social disruptions of mass relocation
14,15
, while
trying to reduce vulnerability to natural hazards through other
means. In addition, political, economic and logistical practicalities
tend to make rebuilding in-place the more expedient option.
Yet while mass relocation can be problematic, it is not clear that
a general policy to rebuild in-place is always consistent with the
preferences of people affected by disasters. Studies have shown both
that affected people tend to return after disasters
16–19
and that some
people prefer relocation
20–23
. Differing preferences may be expected,
as people have differing experiences, priorities, livelihoods and
attachments to place and community
16,17,24
. Especially after a disas-
ter or provision of new information about hazards, housing markets
show price discounts for properties closer to earthquake faults
25–28
and on floodplains
29,30
, indicating some preference to live in areas
less exposed to hazards. This in turn can lead to socio-economic
segregation. Following Hurricane Andrew in the United States,
middle-income households tended to move to less exposed areas
whereas lower-income households moved into more exposed areas
because of reduced property prices
31
. Especially in developing
countries, locations that are exposed to frequent disasters tend to
be inhabited by lower-income households
32,33
(for an exception to
this, see Supplementary Note 1). Such socio-economic sorting is a
major social driver of vulnerability
34,35
, as lower-income households
that are least able to cope with shocks become disproportionately
exposed to natural hazards
36
.
Thus, it is not clear where it is best to rebuild, who should decide,
nor how these decisions influence societal vulnerability in the lon-
ger term. To shed more light on this, we examine long-term out-
comes of the reconstruction of Banda Aceh, Indonesia, following
the 2004 tsunami. Unlike Hurricane Katrina, after which lower-
income households faced substantial barriers to return
37
, the tsu-
nami on 26 December 2004, which destroyed roughly half of the
city of Banda Aceh
38
, provides an opportunity to observe the long-
term impacts of a humanitarian policy to rebuild predominantly in-
place in coastal areas that were affected by the disaster and remain
exposed to coastal hazards in the future (Supplementary Note 2).
Tsunami risk was largely unknown to the population of Banda Aceh
before the 2004 tsunami (Supplementary Note 3), therefore this case
provides important insights for post-disaster reconstruction efforts
in situations in which a disaster generates new local knowledge of
a hazard. Such situations are made more likely as growing coastal
populations face rising sea levels and the potential for more intense
storms
39
. If sustainable development is in part contingent upon
reducing disaster risk, then it is critical to know how post-disaster
resettlement policies endorsed by the international humanitarian
sector influence societal vulnerability.
Across Aceh province, the 2004 tsunami caused an estimated
160,000 casualties
40
and led to an international reconstruction effort
costing around US$6.7 billion
41
. Initial plans by the Government
of Indonesia called for housing aid beneficiaries to be offered the
choice to return to their previous place of residence or to relocate
farther from the coast, according to their wishes
42
. This was not
implemented
43
. Instead, facing intense pressure to rebuild quickly
and difficulties in acquiring land for relocation settlements, aid
Socio-economic consequences of post-disaster
reconstruction in hazard-exposed areas
Jamie W. McCaughey
1,2
*, Patrick Daly
1
, Ibnu Mundir
3
, Saiful Mahdi
4
and Anthony Patt
2
With coastal populations growing and sea levels rising, reconstruction decisions after coastal disasters are increasingly con-
sequential determinants of future societal vulnerability and thus the sustainability of development. The humanitarian sector
tends to favour rebuilding in-place to avoid the social disruptions of mass relocation, yet evidence on what affected people
want is mixed. Using the case of post-tsunami Banda Aceh, Indonesia, we investigate whether a policy to rebuild in-place in
the disaster-affected area suits an urban population that was previously unaware of the hazard. We show that following the
tsunami, a substantial proportion of the population prefers to live farther from the coast. This has caused a new price premium
for inland properties and socio-economic sorting of poorer households into coastal areas. These findings show that offering
reconstruction aid predominantly within a hazard-exposed area can inadvertently transfer disaster risk to the poor.
NATURE SUSTAINABILITY | VOL 1 | JANUARY 2018 | 38–43 | www.nature.com/natsustain
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