Karachi University Journal of Science, 2008, 36, 19-22 19
0250-5363/08 © 2008 University of Karachi
Recital of Some Existing Sunshine-Based Models of Global Solar Radiation
for Selected Stations of Punjab, Pakistan: A Comparative Study
Intikhab Ulfat
1,2,*
, Firoz Ahmed
2
, Farrukh Javed
3
, Asif Usman
4
and Faiza Kanwal
2
1
Department of Applied Physics, Chalmers University of Technology, SE-41296 Göteborg, Sweden;
2
Energy &
Environment Research Group, Department of Physics, University of Karachi, Karachi- 75270, Pakistan;
3
School of
Economics and Management , Department of Statistics, Lund University, SE-220 07 Lund; Sweden;
4
Pakistan
Metrological Department, Karachi-75270, Pakistan
Abstract: An essential requirement of design of a solar energy conversion system is the precise knowledge of the
availability of global solar radiation and its components at the location of interest. In developing countries like Pakistan
such data is not available for all locations owing to which there is need of employing different models for the estimation
of global solar radiation that use climatological parameters of the location under study. In the present paper the monthly
average daily global solar radiation at two stations (Lahore and Multan) in the Punjab province of Pakistan has been
predicted using empirical models of Angstrom, Rietveld and Glover Mc Culloch. The performances of these models have
been assessed employing different statistical tests. Punjab is the largest province of Pakistan by population and the global
solar radiation data for a long period of time is available only for the stations mentioned above. This study will help solar
energy research workers in the region to use the empirical models for the places with similar conditions and having no
facilities of recording the radiation data.
Key Words: Global Solar Radiation, Empirical Models.
1. INTRODUCTION
Information concerning the accessibility of global solar
radiation and its components at a specific site is vital for
practical utilization of solar energy. In developing countries
like Pakistan the lack of the facilities for recording solar
radiation is an obstruction for most of the ventures. Due to
this verity it becomes essential to imply empirical models
based on various climatological factors. The most significant
factor in this regard is the sunshine hours whose recording is
quite often. In Pakistan the daily sunshine hours is recorded
at more than 40 stations whereas the daily global solar
radiation is recorded only at five stations. This paper
presents a comparison to evaluate the prognostic ability of
some existing empirical models based on sunshine hours
called sunshine-based models for two stations of the region
of Punjab, Pakistan.
Being largest by population and the second largest by
area, Punjab is a very important province of Pakistan. It is
situated at the eastern periphery of the Iranian Plateau and
the northwestern border of the geologic Indian plate in South
Asia [1]. Punjab is the only province of Pakistan that touches
all the other provinces of the country and can thus be
regarded as central region of the country. This significant
geographical situation and a huge number of inhabitants
greatly affects Punjab's stance on issues of state echelon. The
selected stations from the province i.e., Lahore and Multan
are two large and the only cities of this province where the
global solar radiation data is measured.
*Address correspondence to this author at the Department of Applied
Physics, Chalmers University of Technology, SE-41296 Göteborg, Sweden;
E-mail: intikhab@chalmers.se
2. MODELS USED
2.1. Angström–Prescott–Page Model
The most commonly used sunshine based model used for
the estimation of monthly average daily global solar
radiation (H) measured in MJm
2
is of Angstrom 2
developed later by Page 3 is given as
H=H
0
a+b (n/N)
where H
0
is the monthly average daily extraterrestrial
radiation, n is the day length, N is the maximum possible
sunshine duration, and a and b are empirical coefficients
signifying the measure of the overall atmospheric
transmission under the total cloudy condition (n/N = 0) and
the rate of increase of H/H
0
with n/N respectively. These are
also referred as Angstrom coefficients and there value has
been reported for a number of stations 4. We have
previously reported their values for Karachi, Pakistan 5,6.
In the present paper we report the values of these constants
for Lahore and Multan for the first time considering a long-
range data of 25 years, which has not been done so far.
The monthly average daily extraterrestrial solar radiation
on a horizontal surface i.e., H
0
is one of the basic input
parameter for estimation and can be calculated with fair
amount of accuracy from the geographical information of a
particular place in MJm
2
7.
2.2. Rietveld Model
Rietveld examined several published values of the a and
b coefficients 8 and pointed out that a is related linearly