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Geoforum
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/geoforum
Climate change and conflict: Global insecurity and the road less traveled
Courtney Work
Department of Ethnology, National Chengchi University, No. 64, Sec. 2 ZhiNan Rd, Wenshan District, Taipei City 11605, Taiwan
ARTICLE INFO
Keywords:
Climate change
Conflict
Cooperation
Development
Security
Justice
ABSTRACT
Fears of climate conflict expected to erupt in states with unstable political and economic systems contribute to
the global land rush through emerging politics of climate change mitigation and adaptation. Scholarship reveals,
however, that solutions to the problem of climate change, like biofuel production, carbon capture, and ‘climate-
smart’ industrial agriculture, are exacerbating both conflict and environmental change. This contradiction is
created in part by long-standing and unchanging policies regarding societal security, which legitimizes economic
development’s extractive resource transformations to avert conflict, incorporates climate change mitigation and
adaptation into a development framework, and exacerbates the environmental crises of over-development. On a
positive note, the obvious failure of these policies gives rise to social and scientific collaborations that disrupt the
conflict scenarios promoting continued economic growth as the path to peace. New cooperation from the ground
up can create new possibilities for integrated, and thus actually sustainable futures.
1. Introduction
Land and resource use during the past 200 years has ushered in
unprecedented climate instability and ecological collapse. IPCC (2014)
provides strong evidence and directly connects industrial development
to climate change. Policymakers at this critical juncture are not, how-
ever, focused on finding new or cultivating existing land-use practices
that do not exacerbate climate change; rather, the focus is on alter-
native energy sources and methods to continue industrialized economic
growth and accumulation. Neither of these make perceptible alterations
to existing practice. The most visible changes involve a spectacle of
climate-sensitive interventions and sustainable development initiatives
(Igoe, 2010; Corson et al., 2013); the regulation and sale of carbon,
enhancements to industrial agriculture and industrial infrastructure,
and the development of non-fossil energy sources, for example (Corbera
and Schroeder, 2011; Hunsberger et al., 2014; Taylor, 2017; World
Bank, 2013, 2016). The insufficiency of these initiatives to achieve
results that are actually sustainable is now documented, even by sci-
entists who promote development in its revised and sustainable form
(Dittrich, 2012; UNEP, 2017).
Climate stabilization requires dramatic changes to our current
economic model, which are not forthcoming. It is therefore urgent at
this juncture, to understand the mechanisms through which the possi-
bility for change is foreclosed. This paper examines one element of the
legitimizing forces that justify continued industrial development de-
spite little change to its practices, environmental costs, or social in-
justice. This well-traveled road is conflict, and in particular the framing
of environmental degradation, and by extension climate change, as a
state security threat (Devlin and Hendrix, 2014; Homer-Dixon, 2000;
United Nations, 2004). In the current era, developed nations attempt to
expand markets, secure world peace, and deter civil war through eco-
nomic development (Rist, 2008). This process connects to a long history
in which elite and civilized modes of land use are privileged over other
existing possibilities (Moore, 2017); and is justified through the ‘fact’
that peace and prosperity can only be achieved by overcoming human
competition over freely accessible resources. This ‘natural’ state of war
requires centralized control of resources and the suppression or ac-
commodation of groups that would use resources to support their own
elite ambitions (Le Billon, 2001).
It is in this context, where resource access determines elite status,
that conflict becomes a defining justification for enhancing resource
governance and increasing economic opportunities (World Bank,
2011). This is a narrow framing of conflict, however, focused only on
armed and violent conflicts that threaten state stability (Selby, 2014),
stability that is presumed necessary for peace and prosperity. Such a
restricted lens obscures the other conflicts and violent acts against
peasant and indigenous communities, and all other species using
common resources, when water and land are transformed into eco-
nomic opportunities (Peluso and Watts, 2001). These two conceptions
of conflict explicitly speak past one another. One, concerned with state
security and stability, follows a Hobbesian framework in which ‘nat-
ural’ competition over scarce resources must be suppressed (Homer-
Dixon, 2010). The other, focused on social and ecological justice and
human security, defines conflict broadly through the multiple injustices
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2018.11.004
Received 1 July 2018; Received in revised form 30 October 2018; Accepted 5 November 2018
E-mail address: cwork@nccu.edu.tw.
Geoforum xxx (xxxx) xxx–xxx
0016-7185/ © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Please cite this article as: Work, C., Geoforum, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2018.11.004