C
Impacts of Cl
Production
Barasa, B. M. O.
Department of Emergency Management
Studies, Masinde Muliro University of
Science and Technology (MMUST), P.O.
Box 190 Code 50100, Kakamega, Kenya
Email: barasabeatrice83@yahoo.com
Abstract – Climate fluctuates naturally
from days, seasons, years and few decade
The short-medium term fluctuations aro
climate scales, is referred to as climate v
variability is manifested in the: increase i
conditions; land degradation, changes in
diminishing natural resource productiv
areas, irreversible loss of biodiversity. Ag
sensitive to climatic conditions and he
climate fluctuations which often result in
This study assessed impacts of clim
agricultural production in Kakamega co
study adopted the descriptive survey
sampling strategy was used to obtain the
from where four hundred (400) farme
sampled. Key Informants were purposiv
structured questionnaires, Focus Group D
Key Informant Interviews (KIIs) and obs
were used to collect data. Data we
inferentially and descriptively using SP
package version 17. Respondents obser
impacts of climate variability in cr
production: Reduction in the quality and
produce as a result of emergency of p
vectors (98.2%); increased erosion (92.4%
soil fertility (89.6%); seasonal uncertain
the time of sowing (51.1%). Regarding liv
general reduction in size, diversity and
breeds of livestock (78.3%). The study con
variability had impacted negatively on
production. This study recommended th
their agricultural practices in line w
fluctuations as adaptation increases
vulnerable communities.
Keywords – Agricultural Sector,
Variability.
I. INTRODUCTION
Climate fluctuates naturally on all
days, seasons, years and few decades
The short-medium term fluctuations ar
state on climate scales, is referred to as
(IPCC, 2004; IPCC, 2007).Studies sugg
climate variability vary in different locat
the complex bio-physical interactions
economic conditions and the unique
exist in these regions (Li et al., 2011; G
Nonetheless, IPCC (2007) observes tha
temperature near the earth surface rose
1906 and 2005 and scientists estimate
Copyright © 2015 IJAIR, All right reserved
1638
International Journal of Agriculture I
Volume 3, Issue 6,
limate Variability in Agric
n in Kakamega County, K
S. B. B. Oteng’i
Department of Disaster Preparedness,
Management and Engineering
Masinde Muliro University of Science and
Technology (MMUST), P.O. Box 190
Code 50100, Kakamega, Kenya
J.
Departme
and S
Masinde Mu
Technolog
Code 5
y on all time scales
es to many decades.
ound mean state on
variability. Climate
in extreme weather
n rainfall patterns;
vity; and in some
gricultural sector is
ence vulnerable to
n negative impacts.
mate variability in
ounty, Kenya. The
design. Multistage
geographical areas
ers were randomly
vely sampled. Semi
Discussions (FGDs),
servation check lists
ere analyzed both
PSS statistical data
rved the following
rop and livestock
d quantity of farm
pests, diseases and
%); deterioration of
nties and change in
vestock, there was a
quality of genetic
ncluded that climate
livestock and crop
hat farmers adapt
with the climatical
resilience of the
Climate, Impacts,
N
time scales from
to many decades.
round some mean
climate variability
gest that impacts of
tions depending on
, changing socio-
features that may
Gosh et al., 2011).
at globally, the air
by 0.74° between
e that it could be
increased as much as 6.4 °C o
century. Existing literature doc
atmospheric concentrations
equivalent to a doubling of c
force a rise in global average su
3.5 degrees Celsius by 2100
2007). The IPCC further o
precipitation will rise as much
warmer atmosphere holds more
In Kenya, records indicat
temperatures have increased by
a consequent increase in the num
(Mutimba et al., 2010; NC
precipitation projection in the c
by approximately 0.2- 0.4 pe
2010). The country experienc
decade and minor ones ev
(Mutimba, 2010; NCCRS, 2
1993, Kenya has declared o
attributable to droughts and fl
2012; NADMA 2011).
The change in climate has m
upon agricultural production b
on climate factors such as tem
(Valerie et al., 2010; Glwadys,
Muchemi 2010).Climate variab
can be divided into bio and
2007). It is therefore cruc
acknowledge and perceive thes
turn inform their adaptation st
Impacts of climate variability in
Kakamega County, Kenya purp
II. MATERIALS A
1: Study Site
The study site was Kakam
county comprises of twelve (12
on Fig. 1.The county lies betwe
and latitudes 0
0
and 1
0
N of the
1,250-2000m. It has an area
kilometers (GoK, 2009). Th
identified because according to
2010, the county’s population
the second most populous coun
This county has one of the high
Kenya averaging to 544 pe
locations, one thousand (10
Manuscript Processing Details (dd/mm/yyyy
Received : 15/05/2015 | Accepted on : 22/05
Innovations and Research
, ISSN (Online) 2319-1473
cultural
Kenya
. W. Wakhungu
ent of Disaster Management
Sustainable Development
uliro University of Science and
gy (MMUST), P.O. Box 190
50100, Kakamega, Kenya
on average during the 21st
cument that an increase in
of greenhouse gasses
carbon dioxide (CO2) will
urface temperature of 1.0 to
0 (UNFCCC, 1998; IPCC
observes that an average
h as 10% to 15% because a
e water (IPCC 2007).
te that the mean annual
y 1
0
C since the 1960s with
mber of hot days and nights
CCRS, 2010). Total annual
country suggest an increase
er cent per year (NCCRS,
ces major droughts every
very three to four years
010; KMD, 2012). Since
over six national disasters
loods (DFID, 2010; KMD,
mainly adversarial impacts
because the sector depends
mperature and precipitation
2009; Kakubo et al., 2007;
bility impacts in agriculture
physical types (Maddison,
cial for the farmers to
se impacts which should in
trategies. This study on the
n agricultural production in
posed to establish this.
AND METHODS
mega county, Kenya. The
2) sub-counties and detailed
een longitude 34
0
and 35
0
E
Equator and within altitude
a of about 3,224.9 square
he site was purposively
o the latest census report of
stood at 1,660,651, being
nty in Kenya (GoK, 2009).
hest population densities in
ersons per km
2
. In some
000) people live on the
y) :
5/2015 | Published : 08/06/2015