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International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology (IJCIET)
Volume 9, Issue 8, August 2018, pp. 1034–1047, Article ID: IJCIET_09_08_105
Available online at http://www.iaeme.com/ijciet/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=9&IType=8
ISSN Print: 0976-6308 and ISSN Online: 0976-6316
© IAEME Publication Scopus Indexed
SYMMETRIC AND ASYMMETRIC SHOCK
MODELS OF STOCK RETURN VOLATILITY IN
INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
Hartaty Hadady
Diponegoro University, Semarang, Indonesia
Universitas Khairun Ternate, Indonesia
Jasanta Peranginangin
Diponegoro University, Semarang, Indonesia
Institut Agama Islam Negeri Surakarta, Indonesia
Harjum Muharam
Diponegoro University, Semarang, Indonesia
ABSTRACT
The deploying information on exchange world influences the investors' decisions
to do an investation. This information can be responded differently by investors so it
causes turmoil which is reflected in stock price volatility. The purpose of this study is
to examine the information on macroeconomic fundamentals, oil prices, and Dow
Jones index on the volatility returns of stock price index in BEI by using the symmetric
shock and asymmetric shock models. Observation period from 2007-2017. The used
research method is to analyze the differences of bad or good information entry to the
volatility patterns that occur. After the data processing with eviews 8, the results show
that the asymmetric-GARCH, SBI, and oil price models have no significant effect
while the exchange rate and DJIA affect the volatility of stock index returns
Key words: Symmetrick shock, Asymmetric shock, macroeconomic fundamentals, oil
prices, DJIA, stock index return volatility.
Cite this Article: Hartaty Hadady, Jasanta Peranginangin and Harjum Muharam,
Symmetric and Asymmetric Shock Models of Stock Return Volatility in Indonesia
Stock Exchange. International Journal of Civil Engineering and Technology, 9(8),
2018, pp. 1034-1047.
http://www.iaeme.com/IJCIET/issues.asp?JType=IJCIET&VType=9&IType=8
1. INTRODUCTION
The factors that cause individual stock prices and volatile of stock market indices are very
difficult to predict and ascertain. The researchers in financial sector as well as investors
cannot ascertain exactly what factors that influence the stock price volatility. Why are stock
prices volatile? This is an important question and becomes an interesting phenomenon to