Do religious voters discriminate against women gubernatorial
candidates?
Mark Setzler and Alixandra B. Yanus
Department of Political Science, High Point University, High Point, NC, USA
ABSTRACT
Scholars report that areas with higher concentrations of religious
voters elect relatively few women to executive office. These
studies, however, cannot explain whether the observed patterns
are a direct result of religious individuals’ vote choices. Our study
explores this question using Cooperative Congressional Election
Studies data from all mixed-gender gubernatorial elections in the
2008 through 2016 general election cycles. We conclude that
religious voters, regardless of religious tradition or gender, are not
significant barriers to electing women to state executive office.
More specifically, religious individuals are disproportionately
supportive of Republican women and opposed to Democratic
women, even when controlling for the ideological distance
between the individual’s partisanship and that of the candidate.
ARTICLE HISTORY
Received 9 June 2016
Accepted 20 June 2017
KEYWORDS
Women and gender;
elections; religions; state
politics
Macro-level research has demonstrated that state- and district-level differences in socio-
cultural climates correspond to the rates at which women are elected to political office.
This finding is true for state legislatures, statewide executive offices, and both houses of
the US Congress (e.g., Merolla, Schroedel, and Waller 2009; Oxley and Fox 2004;
Windett 2011). Many of these studies conclude that female politicians face unusually
serious obstacles in highly religious areas because these communities are less supportive
of female political leaders. Specifically, scholars claim that electorates in more traditiona-
listic regions prefer male politicians because a large share of their voters holds religiously
derived beliefs questioning the desirability of female leadership (Merolla, Schroedel, and
Holman 2007; Merolla, Schroedel, and Waller 2009; Setzler 2016; Vandenbosch 1996).
While such studies make a strong initial case for the proposition that religiosity is
somehow linked to voter support for women, macro-level analyses cannot fully test this
causal mechanism. Examining the motivation of voters, by definition, requires individ-
ual-level data that facilitates examination of the extent to which individuals’ religiosity
and their religious backgrounds determine their support or rejection of women candidates.
Do more religious voters, or at least individuals belonging to some religious traditions,
discriminate against women candidates for executive positions? The present analysis
explores this question by focusing on how voters’ frequency of attending religious services
and their particular religious denomination affect their vote choice in gubernatorial elec-
tions. We also analyze the extent to which the direct and indirect influence of religious
© 2017 Western Political Science Association
CONTACT Alixandra B. Yanus ayanus@highpoint.edu
POLITICS, GROUPS, AND IDENTITIES, 2017
https://doi.org/10.1080/21565503.2017.1358644
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