DOI 10.1007/s11063-007-9035-z
Neural Processing Letters (2007) 25:157–169 © Springer 2007
iMLP: Applying Multi-Layer Perceptrons
to Interval-Valued Data
ANTONIO MU
˜
NOZ SAN ROQUE
1,⋆
, CARLOS MAT
´
E
1
, JAVIER ARROYO
2
and
´
ANGEL SARABIA
1
1
Instituto de Investigaci´ on Tecnol´ ogica (IIT), Escuela T´ ecnica Superior de Ingenier
´
ia
(ICAI), Universidad Pontificia Comillas, Alberto Aguilera 25, 28015 Madrid, Spain.
E-mails: amunoz@upcomillas.es, cmate@upcomillas.es, asarabia@upcomillas.es
2
Departamento de Ingenie´ na del Software e Inteligencie Artificial, Universidad Complutense,
Profesor Garc
´
ia-Santesmases s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain. E-mail: javier.arroyo@tdi.ucm.es
Abstract. Interval-valued data offer a valuable way of representing the available informa-
tion in complex problems where uncertainty, inaccuracy or variability must be taken into
account. In addition, the combination of Interval Analysis with soft-computing methods,
such as neural networks, have shown their potential to satisfy the requirements of the deci-
sion support systems when tackling complex situations. This paper proposes and analyzes
a new model of Multilayer Perceptron based on interval arithmetic that facilitates handling
input and output interval data, but where weights and biases are single-valued and not inter-
val-valued. Two applications are considered. The first one shows an interval-valued func-
tion approximation model and the second one evaluates the prediction intervals of crisp
models fed with interval-valued input data. The approximation capabilities of the proposed
model are illustrated by means of its application to the forecasting of daily electricity price
intervals. Finally, further research issues are discussed.
Key words. feed-forward neural network, function approximation, interval analysis, interval
data, interval neural networks, symbolic data analysis, time series forecasting
Abbreviations: iMLP – interval Multilayer Perceptron; INN – Interval Neural Network;
MAPE – Mean Absolute Percentage Error; MLP – Multilayer Perceptron
1. Introduction
1.1. artificial neural networks, intervals and decision sciences
Artificial neural networks have found increasing consideration in management sci-
ence, leading to successful applications in various domains, including business and
operations research (see e.g. [1–3]), forecasting (see e.g. [4–6]), and data mining (see
e.g. [7,8]).
In decision support systems, the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) is one of the most
popular neural network models (see e.g. [2,9]). This is due to the fact that its archi-
tecture is very clear and the algorithm is parsimonious. Successful application of
Research funded by Universidad Pontificia Comillas.
⋆
Author for correspondence.