Original article
Does rentierism have a conditional effect on violence? Regime oil
dependency and civil war in Algeria
Silvia D’Amato
a,
*, Gianni Del Panta
b
a
Scuola Normale Superiore (Institute for Humanities and Social Sciences), Piazza Strozzi 1, 50123, Florence, Italy
b
University of Siena (Centre for the Study of Political Change), Via Pier Andrea Mattioli 10, 53100, Siena, Italy
A R T I C L E I N F O
Article history:
Received 21 October 2016
Received in revised form 7 January 2017
Accepted 7 January 2017
Available online 19 January 2017
Keywords:
Algeria
Civil wars
Oil
Process tracing
Rentier states
A B S T R A C T
This paper intends to shed new light on an established debate within the academic literature concerning
the role of oil dependency on regime (in)stability and eventually, civil wars. It does so by focusing on the
events that led to the Algerian civil war (1988–1992). The core contribution this paper offers stands on the
unveiling of a chain of micro-level events through a Process Tracing (PT) approach. Other than assessing
the enabling conditions and the explicative factors associated to the onset of a civil war in a rentier state,
we present the results of a dynamic interplay between structure and agency.
© 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
In the mid-1970s, Algeria was regarded as one of the most
successful stories in economic development among oil exporter
countries. Less than twenty years later the state was engulfed in a
bloody civil war that lasted around one decade (1992–2002) and
costed more than 200,000 lives. What can account for this
trajectory? Was violence really inevitable?
Many scholars see the Algerian events as a critical confirmation
of the links between (a) being a rentier state and authoritarianism;
and (b) being a rentier state and the clash of civil war. Algeria
largely vindicated both these two perspectives, finding itself at an
interesting and largely unique intersection between an arrested
process of democratization and civil war.
This article aims to shed new light by applying a different
theoretical perspective on this long-studied conundrum
(Mortimer, 1996; Cavatorta, 2009; Aït-Aoudia, 2015). It offers
qualitative empirical insights on the Algerian case to assess the
circumstances under which being a rentier state can lead the way
to large-scale violence. It will be stressed that state configuration
matters not only for the official decisions and activities it supports,
but also because doing so, certain political movements and
collective behaviour are more probable than others. The attempt to
analyse the relationship between regime dependence on hydro-
carbons and the violent mobilization of opponent non-state actors
is pursued through a via media between structure and agency,
allowing a fruitful dialogue between these two levels of analysis. In
particular, by applying a narrative variation of Process Tracing (PT),
a reconstruction of the micro-chain of the events based on
triangulated historical observations is proposed. However, this
paper is not simply interested in establishing whether there is a
relationship between rentierism and political violence. The
analysis also intends to unveil the mechanism between an external
shock on rentier states and the clash of civil wars, given certain
contextual and enabling conditions.
After reviewing the main approaches to oil regime stability and
the onset of political violence, a theoretical conceptualization of
the hypothesized mechanism will be established. Next, in line with
the methodological requirements of PT, the paper will set the
context – and contextual condition – of the Algerian political-
economic setting prior to the outburst of contestations. Conse-
quently, two scope conditions under which the mechanism is
expected to be activated are presented: a) discriminations in the
educational and labour systems; and b) the presence of a strong
alternative political actor – in the Algerian context, by the Front
Islamique du Salut (FIS).
The final part of the paper will instead focus on in-depth
empirical reconstruction of the mechanism leading to instability
and, eventually, civil war. The emphasis is placed on a series of
micro-events during the critical phase of 1988–1992. Arguments
will be supported through the analysing of relevant crucial
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: silvia.damato@sns.it (S. D’Amato), jofplant@gmail.com
(G. Del Panta).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.exis.2017.01.002
2214-790X/© 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
The Extractive Industries and Society 4 (2017) 361–370
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
The Extractive Industries and Society
journal homepage: www.else vie r.com/locat e/e xis