I.J. Education and Management Engineering, 2019, 3, 16-26
Published Online May 2019 in MECS (http://www.mecs-press.net)
DOI: 10.5815/ijeme.2019.03.02
Available online at http://www.mecs-press.net/ijeme
Impact of Climatic Change on Agricultural Product Yield Using K-
Means and Multiple Linear Regressions
1
Gbadamosi Babatunde,
2
Adeniyi Abidemi Emmanuel,
3
Ogundokun Roseline Oluwaseun,
4
Oladosu Bukola Bunmi,
5
Anyaiwe Ehiedu Precious
1,2,3,4,5
Department of Computer Science, College of Pure and Applied Sciences, Landmark University, Omu-
Aran, Kwara State
Received: 12 September 2018; Accepted: 17 December 2018; Published: 08 May 2019
Abstract
Adequate information about climate change helps farmers to prepare and helps boost crop yield. Over the years,
crops prediction was performed by manually considering farmer's experience on the particular crop in relation
to the weather. This method was Inadequate, depends on the farmer's unreliable memory and grossly inaccurate.
There is a need to introduce computational means to study and predict optimal climatic factors for improved
crop growth and yield. The aim of this research work is to study the impact of climatic changes on the yield
production of roots and tubers crops. K-means classification algorithm, Multiple Linear Regression, Python
programming language, Flask Framework, Python machine learning packages numpy, matplotlib, Scikit-learn
are the methodology used. While the obtained results show that CO2 Emission and Temperature does not really
play a key role on how climate impact yield of root and tubers, rainfall plays more role; therefore, the study
concludes that the three variables (temperature, rainfall, and CO2 Emission) are not enough to predict
agricultural yield. It is therefore recommended that further research should be carried out to determine how
other climatic factors such as soil type; humidity, sunlight etc. affect the yield of crops. The objective of this
research is to study climatic change using data mining techniques, to design a predictive model using multiple
linear regression to find the most optimal temperature and rainfall for effective crop yield and to simulate the
multiple linear regression model design that achieve a high accuracy and a high generality in terms of climate
change to crop yield.
Index Terms: Data mining, K-mean, Climate, Rainfall, Temperature, Multiple Linear Regression, Agricultural
product.
© 2019 Published by MECS Publisher. Selection and/or peer review under responsibility of the Research
Association of Modern Education and Computer Science.
* Corresponding author.
E-mail address:
1
gbadamosi.babatunde@lmu.edu.ng,
2
adeniyi.emmanuel@lmu.edu.ng,
3
ogundokun.roseline@lmu.edu.ng,
4
oladosu.bukola@lmu.edu.ng,
5
ehiedu.precious@lmu.edu.ng