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Reference: Çifci, H., & Yüksel, N. (2018). Foresight 6.0: The New Generation of Technology Foresight. In 2018 IEEE International
Conference on Engineering, Technology and Innovation (ICE/ITMC) (pp. 1–5). http://doi.org/10.1109/ICE.2018.8436350
Foresight 6.0: The New Generation of Technology Foresight
Hasan Çifci
Science and Technology Policies Studies of Middle East
Technical University (METU)
Ankara, Turkey
hcifci74@gmail.com
Nurdan Yüksel (deceased)
Science and Technology Policies Studies of Middle East
Technical University (METU)
Ankara, Turkey
nurdan.yuksel@metu.edu.tr
Abstract— Futures studies have always been important for
people to anticipate the future and take actions. Since technology
is for society, Future oriented Technology Analyses (FTA) have
been widely implemented based on different concepts through
different dimensions. Foresight, one of the FTA, has evolved
throughout its journey within its generations until today. In this
article, foresight generations in the literature are put forth as
grouped and the framework of new technology foresight
generation as sixth generation (Foresight 6.0) is offered and
detailed. Foresight 6.0 is evaluated on the focused dimensions,
participating actors, economic bases and principles. The rising
concepts of Industry 4.0, Society 5.0, netocracy, cyberspace,
biotechnology, ethical values and blurriness of the roles in
economy are the primary factors in this new generation of
foresight.
Keywords—foresight; technology foresight; foresight
generations; Industry 4.0; Society 5.0; netocracy; cyberspace;
biotechnology; cyborgs; artificial intelligence
I. INTRODUCTION
People … the future... The emerging of foresight and its
evolution through time as a term is shown in the Fig. 1.
Fig. 1. Timeline of Foresight as a Term
1
[6]
1
Miles [35] was used in building timeline of foresight.
“Foresight is a systematic and multidisciplinary process
with proper methodology combinations for identifying
technological, economic and social areas to prioritize
investments and research in order to determine medium or
long term future strategies by using all level of resources from
organizational to international [7].”
Foresight uses active attitude….
II. FORESIGT GENERATIONS
A. Foresight Generations in the Literature
In the literature, generations of foresight have different
classifications…These generations are shown in Table 1
adapted from [8] and [9] with the addition of sixth generation
offered by authors.
Fig. 2. Main Approaches to Foresight Generations by Yüksel and Çifci [7]