Trade Impacts of South
Asian Free Trade
Agreements in Sri Lanka
Hiroyuki Taguchi
1
Don Chalani Imasha Rubasinghe
2
Abstract
This article aims to examine the trade effects of the South Asian Free Trade
Agreement (SAFTA) with a focus on Sri Lanka, by applying a gravity trade
model. The study targets the following three FTAs: the SAFTA, the India–Sri
Lanka Free Trade Agreement (ISFTA), and the Pakistan–Sri Lanka Free Trade
Agreement (PSFTA). The outcomes of the gravity trade model estimation sug-
gested that the trade creation effects were identified in the ISFTA, while those
were not verified in the SAFTA and that the PSFTA had the trade creation
effects only on the Sri Lankan imports. Those results seem to reflect the dif-
ferentials in the preferential tariff rates. In particular, ISFTA could have the
predominant positive effects on Sri Lankan trade flows due to its lowest pref-
erential tariff rates, and thus the SAFTA effect might be crowded out at the
current stage of Sri Lankan trade.
JEL: F13, F14, O53
Keywords
South Asia, South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA), India-Sri Lanka
Free Trade Agreement (ISFTA), Pakistan-Sri Lanka Free Trade Agreement
(PSFTA), South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC), gravity
trade model
Research Article
Corresponding author:
Hiroyuki Taguchi, Professor, Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Saitama University,
255 Shim o-Okubo, Sakura-ku, Saitama, Saitama Prefecture 338-8570, Japan.
E-mail: tagusaya0710@s3.wh.qit.ne.jp
1
Professor, Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Saitama University, Saitama, Saitama
Prefecture, Japan.
2
Research Scholar, Graduate School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Saitama University, Saitama,
Saitama Prefecture, Japan.
South Asia Economic Journal
20(1) 1–18, 2019
©
2019 Research and Information System
for Developing Countries & Institute of
Policy Studies of Sri Lanka
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DOI: 10.1177/1391561418822203
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