International Research Journal of Engineering and Technology (IRJET) e-ISSN: 2395-0056
Volume: 06 Issue: 11 | Nov 2019 www.irjet.net p-ISSN: 2395-0072
© 2019, IRJET | Impact Factor value: 7.34 | ISO 9001:2008 Certified Journal | Page 2419
Future Prediction of World Countries Emotions Status to Understand
Economic Status using Happiness Index and SVM Kernel
B. Prashanthi
1
, Dr. R. Ponnusamy
2
1
PG Scholar in CSE Department, CVR College of Engineering, Telangana, Hyderabad, India.
2
Professor in CSE Department, CVR College of Engineering, Telangana, Hyderabad, India
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Abstract - For many years there has been a focus on
individual welfare and societal advancement. In addition to
the economic system, diverse experiences and the habitats of
people are crucial factors that contribute to the well-being
and progress of the nation. The predictor of quality of life
called the Better Life Index (BLI) visualizes and compares
key elements—environment, jobs, health, civic engagement,
governance, education, access to services, housing,
community, and income—that contribute to well-being in
different countries. This paper presents a supervised
machine-learning analytical model that predicts the life
satisfaction score of any specific country based on these
given parameters. This work is a stacked generalization
based on a novel approach that combines different machine-
learning approaches to generate a meta-machine-learning
model that further aids in maximizing prediction accuracy.
The work utilized an Organization for Economic Cooperation
and Development (OECD) regional statistics dataset with
four years of data, from 2015 to 2019. Using the data of 187
countries from the UN Development Project, this work is
able to identify which factor needed to be improved by a
certain country to increase the happiness of their citizens.
The novel model achieved a high root mean squared error
(RMSE) value of 0.3 with 10-fold cross-validation on the
balanced class data. Compared to base models, the ensemble
model based on the stacked generalization framework was a
significantly better predictor of the life satisfaction of a
nation. It is clear from the results that the ensemble model
presents more precise and consistent predictions in
comparison to the base learners.
Keywords- data mining; classification; feature selection;
principal component analysis; support vector machine.
1. INTRODUCTION
World happiness has been actively studied throughout the
last ten years. The work in [8] argues that the government of
a country is usually driven by the happiness of their citizens.
Some factors that are controlled or authorized by the
government positively correlate with the happiness level.
That work shows that the key role to determine the citizen
happiness is the improvement of public policy.
Understanding happiness factors will help governments to
make a better policy and legislation. However, the factors
that influence happiness could be different due to different
human perspectives. We cannot just simply say that The
United State is happier than Indonesia country because The
United State has higher GDP. Peggy in [1] stated that
happiness is correlated with national economic and cultural
living conditions. The work in [2] determined Happiness
using three factors which are life expectancy, experienced
well-being and Ecological Footprint. Other work in [9] shows
a new measurement to improve the happiness of a country.
Unlike the previous work, this work studies that happiness is
not only related to physical but also mental needs. Therefore,
they also consider mental health, which includes stress,
depression, and emotional problems. As a result of the
increase of human social complexity, the factors proposed by
[2] and [9] may not be reliable anymore. Additional factors
such as health and human development index should be
examined carefully. However, analyzing the factor to
determine happiness of a particular country is not a trivial
problem. A single factor can have a bigger impact than
another. NEF organization in [2] proposes an equation to
calculate the happiness index. However, this equation does
not consider the economical aspects. Therefore, this work
proposes an approach by extending the factors and adopting
machine learning techniques to learn about those factors.
Due to numerous size of the features, it is unwise to rely on
the prediction of a world happiness done by manual analysis.
That process will result in high cost of analysis. Therefore,
this work also proposes the use of machine learning to
predict the world happiness. Machine learning is a widely
known technique to learn about patterns in data. There are
several machine learning techniques which can be used to
perform a prediction task [3]. One of the remarkable
techniques is the support vector machine. This work uses
support vector machine because its outstanding ability to
perform a classification task.
2. RELATED WORK
This section briefly explains the related work in this project.
Firstly, the national happiness analysis is described. It will
discuss the importance of happiness analysis. Secondly, the
used machine learning is introduced. Lastly, the proposed
factor analysis is discussed.
A. World Happiness Analysis
The work in [4] mentioned that happiness could be a good
indicator for how well a society is doing. This becomes
important because Betham [5] said that the best society is
the one where the citizens are happiest. Several researches
have been conducted on positive aspects and the matters of