Management and Administrative Sciences Review www.absronline.org/journals
e-ISSN: 2308-1368, p-ISSN: 2310-872X
Volume: 3, Issue: 1, Pages: 53-68 (January 2014)
© Academy of Business & Scientific Research
*Corresponding author: Ma. Belinda S. Mandigma,
College of Commerce and Business Administration, University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines.
E-Mail: belmandigma@yahoo.com
53
Research Paper
Stock Market Linkages among the ASEAN 5+3 Countries and US:
Further Evidence
Ma. Belinda S. Mandigma
College of Commerce and Business Administration, University of Santo Tomas, Manila, Philippines
This study is an attempt to analyze the linkages among the stock markets of the
ASEAN 5+3 countries and the U.S. before the 2008 global financial turbulence and
the ensuing recovery period. Data consisted of weekly stock index closing prices
over the period January 07, 2005 to December 28, 2007 (pre-crisis period) and the
period January 15, 2010 to January 25, 2013 (recovery period). Econometrics tools
were used to examine (1) short-term dynamic stock returns relationships (2)
individual stock market efficiency (3) long-term stock market linkages, and (4)
short-term influence on stock returns among the subject stock markets. Results
indicate that the short-term dynamic linkages among the markets were
strengthened during recovery except for China. In addition, there exists a long-
term co-integrating relationship among the markets after the crisis. Interestingly,
results show the significant influence of China in almost all the markets before
and after the financial turmoil. Further, the unidirectional causal relationship
running from the U.S. to the Philippines and Indonesia somehow dissipates and
curiously shifted to China during recovery. Policy makers may use the results of
this study as a spring board for adopting programs in response to increasing
financial interactions across borders. Likewise, international investors may be
guided by the findings in the choice of stocks for portfolio diversification.
Keywords: Stock market interactions, global financial crisis, international portfolio
diversification, econometrics
INTRODUCTION
Interactions among international stock markets
have been the foci of many studies in previous
years. Several terminologies were used in these
studies to signify interactions such as integration
(e.g. Yi and Tan, 2009; Mukhopadhyay, 2009;
Maghyereh, 2006), convergence (e.g. Manning,
2002), co-movement (e.g. Candelon, Piplaca and
Straetmans, 2008), correlation (e.g. Longin and
Solnik, 2001), interdependence (e.g. Lundis and
Timmerman, 2004; Narayan, Smyth and Nandha,
2004; Bessler and Yang, 2003), spillover (e.g.
Connolly and Wang, 2003), contagion (e.g.
Dungey, Fry and Martin, 2006; Chancharoenchai
and Dibooglu, 2006) and linkages (e.g. Abdul-
Rahim and Mohd.Nor, 2007; Daly, 2003).
Integration is a broad economic concept which
denotes unity similar to convergence. Co-
movement signifies concurrent movements in the