DOI: 10.1111/aspp.12498 Asian Politics & Policy—Volume 11, Number 4—Pages 643–662 © 2019 Policy Studies Organization. Published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Pivot Toward China: A Critical Analysis of the Philippines’ Policy Shift on the South China Sea Disputes Mark Bryan F. Manantan* This article investigates the Philippines’ puzzling reversal of its position against China following its victory in the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) on maritime claims in the South China Sea. Instead of asserting its de jure sovereign rights, which were reaffirmed by the PCA’s decision, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte instead opted to build stronger relations with China. Proposing a burden sharing analytical approach, the article argues that the Philippines is using China as leverage in its alliance with the United States. By exploiting the “China Card” and downplaying the arbitration case, the Philippines has extracted concessions from Beijing and Washington. In capitalizing on the Sino-American rivalry, Manila has reaffirmed its strategic value within the U.S.‒Philippines alliance while benefitting more visibly from Chinese foreign aid and investment pledges. However, the Philippines’ policy posture vis-à-vis China reflects short-term diplomatic and economic tactics rather than an enduring strategic reorientation away from the United States. Key words: Permanent Court of Arbitration, Philippines–China relations, Rodrigo Duterte, South China Sea, UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) 战略重心偏向中国 ： 一项关于菲律宾南海政策转变的批判分析 本研究审视了常设仲裁法院（PCA）就南海海事主张判决菲律宾赢得利后，菲方在反对 中国立场上出现的令人困惑的反转局势。与宣称其法定主权（由PCA判决再次确认）相反 的是，菲律宾总统罗德里戈·杜特尔特选择与中国建立更强的外交关系。本文就压力分担 提出一种分析法，主张菲律宾通过中国对其与美国的联盟关系施加影响。通过利用“中国 这张牌”，同时对仲裁案加以轻视，菲律宾已从北京方面和华盛顿方面获取了让步。通过 利用中美之间的对抗，马尼拉方面已再次确认了其在美菲联盟中的战略价值，同时从中国 的外交援助和投资承诺中获得更多可见的利益。然而，菲律宾对待中国的政策态势反映了 短期的外交策略和经济策略，而不是持久的战略调整（远离美国）。 关键词: 常设仲裁法院, 菲中关系, 罗德里戈·杜特尔特, 南海, 《联合国海洋法公约》 *Mark Bryan F. Manantan is a research fellow at the Center for Southeast Asian Studies at the National Chengchi University in Taiwan, and a research affiliate of Manila-based think tank, Asia Pacific Pathways to Progress.