IOSR Journal of Mathematics (IOSR-JM) e-ISSN: 2278-5728, p-ISSN: 2319-765X. Volume 15, Issue 5 Ser. II (sep – Oct 2019), PP 07-12 www.iosrjournals.org DOI: 10.9790/5728-1505020712 www.iosrjournals.org 7 | Page A Regression Model Approach to Study the Out-Migration from Rural Areas of Nainital District of Uttarakhand Bharat Ratna 1 , Dr. Spersh Bhatt 2 and Pushkar Dutt 3 1( Department of Statistics, D.S.B. Campus, Kumaun University, Nainital, Uttarakhand, India 263001) 2( Department of Statistics, D.S.B. Campus, Kumaun University, Nainital, Uttarakhand, India 263001) 3( Department of Chemistry, D.S.B. Campus, Kumaun University, Nainital, Uttarakhand, India 263001) Corresponding Author: Bharat Ratna Abstract: Migration (human) is the movement of people from one place in the world to another for the purpose of taking up permanent or semi permanent residence, usually across a political boundary in search of better living and livelihood opportunities. Migration is one of the important components of population change along with mortality and fertility. The creation of the separate state of Uttarakhand has caused a large part of the population of the rural Kumaun Region to migrate to different urban parts of the state and in the present scenario out migration is one of the major problems which the state faces. This paper is an attempt to analyse the out-migration with reference to various demographic indicators like family size, family nature, region, religion, category, facilities in the rural areas of Nainital district. The data is collected through a survey with the help of questionnaire. The multiple regression model is used to show the impact of out-migration from the study area. The analysis shows that the facility in village, family size and category of respondent are most responsible indicator for out-migration in rural area of Nainital district. Keywords: Multiple regression, demographic indicators, push & pull factors, out-migration. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Date of Submission: 05-09-2019 Date of Acceptance: 20-09-2019 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I. Introduction Migration and the movement it initials have always accompanied civilisation in every stage of development. Migration occurs as intercontinental, intra continental and interregional at a variety of scales. One of the most significant migration patterns has been rural to urban migration-the movement of people from the countryside to cities in search of better livelihood. At the places of origin and destination, migration influences the social, economic and demographic characteristics of the people, in addition to affecting the size and composition of the population of the concerned regions. Secondly, migration is phenomenon, much more complex than fertility and mortality, which changes rapidly over the time and which shifts direction in response to changes in economic, political, environmental and social conditions. Migration embraces with various social, cultural, economic and political factors which are broadly classified as Push and Pull factors. Oftentimes, a combination of these push-pull factors is what helps determine migration of particular populations from one side to another. According to NSSO (2010); internal migrants in India constitute about 309 million accounting for about 30% of the total population of the country in 2001. The percentage of urban population in India which was only 17% of the total population in 1951 is expected to jump to around 42.5% of the total population by 2025. One of the serious population problems emerging during the last few decades is the migration of people from rural to urban areas. Migration becomes more conspicuous in hilly states like Uttarakhand because of inaccessibility, fragility and limited resources and opportunities. At present (as per 2011 census) about 17% population of the hill districts of Uttarakhand lives in urban areas while in the plains district 42% of the population lives in urban areas. This paper focuses on rural-urban migration, which involves both permanent and temporary movement in search of better opportunities. This paper is an attempt to analyse the out-migration with reference to various demographic factors like region, family size, family nature, category, facilities in village, and Agriculture Land in the Nainital district of Kumaun region (Uttarakhand). The paper will present a descriptive study and test the association between out-migration and various demographic factors in the study area. The district Nainital comprises partly of hill pattis, the bhabar and the plains. Out of 13 districts of the Uttarakhand state, six districts occurs in Kumaun region of Uttarakhand and Nainital district was selected purposively for the study as migration because there are no any literature found in this regards. The Nainital district had shown 7.55% reduced population growth in 2011 census as compared to the 2001 census.