Research Note
Organized Labor Strikes and Social Spending
in Latin America: The Synchronizing Effect
of Mass Protest
Dongkyu Kim
Mi-son Kim
Cesar Villegas
ABSTRACT
e theories and evidence about relationships between democracy and social
spending in Latin America are highly contested. A recent study shows that collec-
tive protest by organized labor effectively increases social security and welfare
spending, whereas mass protest does not have comparable effects on human capital
spending in Latin American democracies. is article reexamines the analysis and
demonstrates that organized labor alone cannot sway democratic governments.
Labor strikes require the synchronizing effect of mass protest to obtain government
concessions. Only through concurrent episodes of mass protest can organized labor
overcome the numerical disadvantage of pressing democratic government for social
welfare spending. In understanding the relationship between labor protests and
social welfare spending through the lens of insider-outsider dichotomy, it is critical
to consider the synchronizing effect of mass protests. e findings remain robust
with alternative measures of democracy and various model specifications.
Keywords: Latin America, democracy, protests, social spending, organized labor
T
hat democracy increases social spending is a political science truism. As politi-
cians in democracies try reaching a broader audience to stay in office, they pri-
oritize spending items for the general public. In the context of Latin America, how-
ever, recent econometric studies provide a complicated version of this truism. For one
thing, evidence is mixed for social spending in general. While some studies find a
positive effect of democracy, others fail to show any discernable effects (Brown and
© 2020 University of Miami
DOI 10.1017/lap.2019.62
Dongkyu Kim is an assistant professor of political science at the University of Texas Rio
Grande Valley. dongkyu.kim@utrgv.edu. ORCID 0000-0002-3021-1912. Mi-son Kim is an
assistant professor of political science at the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley.
mison.kim@utrgv.edu. ORCID 0000-0002-2174-2041. Cesar Villegas is a graduate student
in political science at the University of Rio Grande Valley. cesar.villegas01@utrgv.edu.
ORCID 0000-0001-6982-783X. Conflict of interest: Dongkyu Kim, Mi-son Kim, and
Cesar Villegas declare none.