EDITORIAL
1
www.journals.viamedica.pl
Address for correspondence: Harpreet Singh, Sutter Gould Medical Foundation, Stockton, United States; e-mail: harpreet91@gmail.com
DOI: 10.5603/ARM.a2020.0099
Received: 14.05.2020
Copyright © 2020 PTChP
ISSN 2451–4934
Harpreet Singh, Tarun Popli
1
Sutter Gould Medical Foundation, Stockton, United States
2
New York Medical College, New York, United States
Stopping the SARS-CoV-2 surge in the USA-CDC recommendations
and ground realities
Introduction
As of May 10, 2020, the United States of Ame-
rica (USA) has 1,367,079 cases of SARS-CoV-2 and
80,773 deaths associated with the disease. New
York alone has more than 333,000 cases and near-
ly 21,271 deaths. We are having about 20,000 new
cases every day and the deaths are exceeding
1000 a day. There is overwhelming evidence
that the most effective way of controlling the
virus from spreading is restricting movement to
prevent human to human exposure. As a result,
economies were put on a lockdown worldwide. In
the USA, lockdown began in California on March
19
th
, 2020, with stay home orders, allowing only
for essential jobs, errands, and some exercise
outside. Other states followed soon.
Opening the economy seems necessary. Loc-
kdown was at least partially successful, but as
expected, the economy slowed and jobs were lost.
The latest job report per the US labor department
showed 26 million Americans have been laid off
and fled for unemployment benefts. The US
unemployment now stands at 14.7% meaning
1 out of every 6 is jobless. This issue is the toll
of the SARS-CoV-2 on the largest economy of the
world. Most states now are looking toward the
opening. Most of the “shelter in place” orders
expire in May and some states like Georgia have
already opened its businesses.
Dangers involved with the reopening
Re-opening will pose challenges. The biggest
risk we face is a surge in the immediate cases of
new infections. The second wave of infection
in the fall has also been predicted. Prediction
models have increased the United States deaths
to 130,000 by early August this year given the re-
opening and relaxation of social distancing guide-
lines. The surge can overburden the healthcare
system. If we were to see a second wave similar
to the frst, our present health care system will
stretch again and mortality will increase directly
due to SARS COV-2 and related conditions such
as heart attacks and stroke. In order to reduce
mortality and health care utilization, it is impor-
tant to identify and secure the most vulnerable
and protectable. The older and the frail are at
particular risk of contracting the disease and
losing their lives.
Lessons learned until now about the most
impacted group
As per the Center for Disease Control and
Prevention’s (CDC) latest data set, among the dead
from SARS-COV-2 in the USA, 80% were 65 years
or older and that has not changed since March
18
th
, 2020. As per CDC, on May 8
th
, 2020, the ho-
spitalization rate was highest in people 65 years or
older in age at 162.2 per 100,000 as compared to
that rate in people 50–64 years of age was 79.0 per
100,000. The cumulative hospitalization rate was
50.3 per 100,000 [1]. It is logical to conclude that
the group facing maximum mortality will also
need more intensive care support. The CDC also
studied the number of people above 65 years of
age requiring intensive care shown and found
it to be 53% in that age group [2]. Patients older