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© 2017 Conscientia Beam. All Rights Reserved.
PUBLIC SECTOR SIZE AND GDP GROWTH NEXUS: PANEL DATA ESTIMATION
Naftaly Gisore Mose
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Department of Economics, Technical University of Kenya, Nairobi, Kenya
ABSTRACT
Article History
Received: 4 April 2017
Revised: 18 July 2017
Accepted: 27 July 2017
Published: 7 August 2017
Keywords
Public sector size
Government spending
GDP growth
East Africa
Panel data.
The rationale of this study was to examine empirically how components of public sector
size relates to GDP growth in East Africa from 1985-2015. Using balanced panel fixed
or random effect model, public sector expenditure was disaggregated to scrutinize its
effect of growth. The research tested for panel unit root and found that only two
variables, that is, real GDP growth and capital spending - are stationary at level. The
finding confirms the conventional view that relative capital spending - advances
economic growth while consumption expenditure retards it. Finally, human capital
allocation was insignificant. This study suggests that for these countries, the policy of
increasing public sector size on investment budget to promote GDP growth will be
appropriate, but fewer funds should be directed towards other governmental programs.
Contribution/Originality: This study contributes in the existing literature in the field of public sector economics. This
study uses panel estimation methodology. This study originates new formula of estimating public sector size.
1. INTRODUCTION
Fiscal policy plays a vital function in governmental efforts to boost growth and development in an economy,
through the variation of its income and disbursement profiles. It is the main government policy that influences
economic behavior by raising the revenue through taxation and control of the level of spending (Anyanwu, 1993).
Public sector size was typically categorized into consumption and capital expenditures. The former, corresponded
to government’s acquisition of current goods and services, while the latter would ideally include not merely
investments in infrastructure (roads, Education) but also all other spending that might add to GDP growth. In
other words, while the consumption allocation refers to financial outlays necessary for running of government, the
investment allocation refers to capital outlets that increase the assets of the state. These classifications, nonetheless,
were not mutually exclusive but were indeed inter-linked. For instance, while capital spending gave rise to
consumption expenditure in most cases through the operational and repairs costs of completed capital projects, the
amount available for investment was a function of not only the size of revenue but also the amount that goes
annually into the administration of public sector (Kalio, 2000; Gisore et al., 2014).
The association between public Sector size and economic growth has continued to generate a string of
controversies. Most studies conclude that the relationship between public sector on economic growth is negative
and insignificant (Romer, 1990; Akpan, 2005; Gisore et al., 2014) others indicate that the effect is positive and
Quarterly Journal of Econometrics Research
2017 Vol. 3, No. 1, pp. 1-11
ISSN(e): 2411-0523
ISSN(p): 2518-2536
DOI: 10.18488/journal.88.2017.31.1.11
© 2017 Conscientia Beam. All Rights Reserved.