Vol.:(0123456789)
Political Behavior
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-020-09633-2
1 3
ORIGINAL PAPER
When Trust Matters: The Case of Gun Control
John Barry Ryan
1
· Talbot M. Andrews
1
· Tracy Goodwin
1
· Yanna Krupnikov
1
© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2020
Abstract
Declining trust in government is often cited as the cause of declining support for
policies that require ideological sacrifces. Yet pivotal to the efect of trust is the
broader political context, which can vary over time. In a context of deep partisan
divisions, for individuals who do not trust the government, even small ideologi-
cal costs can signal the beginning of a process that leads to much larger ideologi-
cal costs down the line—a process akin to a “slippery slope.” We demonstrate the
conditional relationship between partisan divides, governmental trust, and support
for policy through empirical tests that focus on the case of gun control. We frst
show that the efect of trust in government on conservatives’ gun control attitudes
increases as polarization over the issue grows. We then use a continuum of gun con-
trol policies to demonstrate that the efect of trust on policy support can follow a
slippery slope structure during polarized points.
Keywords Trust in government · Gun control · Public opinion · Polarization
Trust in government facilitates the compromises necessary to put in place policies
confronting large societal problems. The costs of policies which improve the public
good are unevenly paid, but trust increases policy support among those who pay the
most for these policies (Chanley et al. 2000; Hetherington 2005). In contrast, when
citizens do not trust the government, they are less willing to pay the fnancial or
ideological costs to support policies that are not directly benefcial to them (Hether-
ington 1998). Ultimately, this unwillingness to pay the costs of supporting a policy
can undermine governmental efectiveness (Hetherington 2005).
Although trust in the government is generally important to democracy, in this
manuscript we suggest that trust takes on an especially critical role at a time of clear
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (https://doi.org/10.1007/s1110
9-020-09633-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
* John Barry Ryan
john.ryan@stonybrook.edu
1
Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, USA