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International Journal of Management
Volume 11, Issue 08, August 2020, pp. 1456-1475. Article ID: IJM_11_08_133
Available online at http://www.iaeme.com/ijm/issues.asp?JType=IJM&VType=11&IType=8
Journal Impact Factor (2020): 10.1471 (Calculated by GISI) www.jifactor.com
ISSN Print: 0976-6502 and ISSN Online: 0976-6510
DOI: 10.34218/IJM.11.8.2020.133
© IAEME Publication Scopus Indexed
ASIAN EMERGING MARKET PERSPECTIVE OF
MACROECONOMIC FACTORS, STOCK
RETURN AND VOLATILITY
Raja Nabeel-Ud-Din Jalal*
Università degli Studi "G. d'Annunzio" Chieti – Pescara, Italy, Visiting Research Assistant,
Trinity Business School, Trinity College Dublin-The University of Dublin, Ireland.
Najam Us Sahar
Riphah International University, Islamabad, I.R. Pakistan
*Corresponding Author
ABSTRACT
Macroeconomic factors and events affect the asset prices. This study has
incorporated multiple macroeconomic factors to determine their impact on stock market
return and volatility in Asian emerging economies. These factors were further
categorized in economic, political, disaster and global and regressed against stock
market return and volatility by using panel data analysis technique. Results indicate
that GDP, Inflation, imports and exports, Political instability, disaster, oil prices, world
market index and VIX were related to returns. However, in stock market volatility case
disaster, political instability, gold and oil prices and world market index are
significantly impacting the stock volatility in Asian emerging markets.
Keywords: Macroeconomic factors, stock return, volatility and Asian emerging
economies.
JEL Classifications: C32; O13; O47.
Cite this Article: Raja Nabeel-Ud-Din Jalal and Najam Us Sahar, Asian Emerging
Market Perspective of Macroeconomic Factors, Stock Return and Volatility,
International Journal of Management, 11 (8), 2020, pp. 1456-1475.
http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/issues.asp?JType=IJM&VType=11&IType=8
1. INTRODUCTION
Economic news and events influence the asset prices. Modern Portfolio theory solely focused
on risk factor and concluded that economic factors influence the investment return. This drew
the attention of Chen, Roll and Ross (1986) and they criticized that modern portfolio theory is
inactive. But there are economic factors which effect the stock prices and volatility. Investors