Factors Predicting Duration of Delayed Graft Function in
Non-Heart-Beating Donor Kidney Transplantation
J. Asher, C. Wilson, M. Gok, S. Balupuri, A.A. Bhatti, N. Soomro, D. Rix, B. Jaques, D. Manas,
B. Shenton, and D. Talbot
ABSTRACT
Non-heart-beating donors (NHBDs) are an important potential source of donor organs,
but kidneys from such donors are prone to delayed graft function (DGF) and primary
nonfunction, which are multifactorial in origin but believed to be mainly due to warm
ischemic injury. This retrospective study examined a series of 88 transplants from
Maastricht category II and III NHBDs to examine the role of factors to predict the
duration of DGF. The main factors affecting duration of DGF were total warm ischemic
time, cold ischemic time, product of perfusate GST concentration and donor age, quality
of postoperative graft perfusion, incidence of acute rejection, recipient cardiovascular risk
score, maximum pressure on machine perfusion, and weight gain during machine
perfusion. Primary nonfunction was not accurately predicted from these factors for kidneys
that had passed the viability assessment.
N
ON-HEART-BEATING DONOR (NHBD) kidney
transplants offer the opportunity to compensate for
the growing discrepancy between supply and demand for
donor kidneys.
1,2
They have been shown to have the same
survival and long-term function as kidneys from traditional
brain-stem dead donors
3
but are associated with a higher
incidence of primary nonfunction and a higher incidence
and duration of delayed graft function (DGF).
4
These are
probably due to the inevitable primary warm ischemic
injury associated with NHBD, although other factors may
play a role.
We aimed to evaluate the possible factors predicting
the duration of DGF because prolonged DGF has the
potential to cause morbidity due to additional dialysis
requirements and prolonged hospital stay, as well as
psychological morbidity in patients who see nonfunction
of their graft. We also anticipate that the factors associ-
ated with prolonged DGF may increase the incidence of
primary nonfunction, thereby with a deleterious effect on
graft survival.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
We reviewed our series of 88 consecutive Maastricht category II
and III NHBD kidney transplants from 1998 to 2004 to analyze the
impact of possible predictors of DGF duration. The collective role
of these predictors was further evaluated using a multiple regres-
sion analysis model. The cut-off values or methods of grouping of
the factors are shown in Table 1.
RESULTS
Factors individually predicting significant differences in
duration of DGF included ideal DTPA perfusion (mean
duration 9 vs 22 days, P = .015, MWU); incidence of acute
rejection (8.6 vs 14 days, P = .003, Kruskal-Wallis test);
product of GST and donor age (9.2 vs 28.1 days, P = .001,
MWU); kidney weight gain on machine perfusion (9.2 vs
18.9 days, P = .018, MWU); maximum systolic pressure on
machine perfusion (8.2 vs 17.4 days, P = .021, t test);
recipient cardiovascular risk score (10.3 vs 21.0 days, P =
.017, t test) and total warm ischemic time (8.4 vs 16.8 days,
P = .042, t test).
The multiple regression model demonstrated the diffi-
culty of predicting the duration of DGF as the best model
only achieved r
2
= 0.493 (r = 0.702, P = .014; Durbin-
Watson statistic 1.901). The factors, in order of importance,
were: DTPA perfusion scan score; product of perfusate
From the Liver and Renal Transplant Unit, Freeman Hospital
(J.A., C.W., M.G., S.B., A.A.B., N.S., D.R., B.J., D.M., D.T.), and
Department of Surgery, University of Newcastle upon Tyne (J.A.,
C.W., B.S.), Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
Funded by Northern Counties Kidney Research Fund and the
Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Trust.
Address reprint requests to Dr John Asher, Liver and Renal
Transplant Unit, Freeman Hospital, Newcastle upon Tyne,
United Kingdom. E-mail: john.asher@btinternet.com
0041-1345/05/$–see front matter © 2005 by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.transproceed.2004.11.036 360 Park Avenue South, New York, NY 10010-1710
348 Transplantation Proceedings, 37, 348 –349 (2005)