Applied Mathematics, 2016, 7, 2149-2164
http://www.scirp.org/journal/am
ISSN Online: 2152-7393
ISSN Print: 2152-7385
DOI: 10.4236/am.2016.717171 November 17, 2016
On Fuzzy Control of Soybean Aphid
Magda S. Peixoto
1
, Laécio C. Barros
2
, Rodney C. Bassanezi
2
, Odair A. Fernandes
3
1
Universidade Federal de São Carlos (UFSCar), Sorocaba, Brazil
2
Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP), Campinas, Brazil
3
Universidade EstadualPaulista (UNESP), Jaboticabal, Brazil
Abstract
This paper uses a methodology based in Fuzzy Sets Theory in order to describe the
interaction between the prey, Aphis glycines (Hemiptera: Aphididae)—the soybean
aphid, and its predator, Orius insidiosus (Hemiptera: Anthocoridae) and to propose
a biological control to soybean aphid. Economic thresholds were already developed
for this pest. The model includes biotic (predator) and abiotic (temperature) factors,
which affect the soybean aphid population dynamics. The dynamic model results in a
fuzzy model that preserves the biological meaning and nature of the predator-prey
model. The paper also includes a comparison between the fuzzy model and real data
reported in the literature. Subsequently, we propose a biological control to soybean
aphid by another fuzzy rule-based system. This model has allowed to predict timing
and releasing number of predators for soybean aphid biological control. On the one
hand, the soybean aphid has still not found in Brazil. Therefore, before any eventual
invasion, a predictive model to enhance biological control program is desirable. On
the other hand, the soybean aphid has become the most devastating insect pest of
soybeans in the United States. Brazil is the second largest exporter of soybean at
present, after the USA and before Argentina. According to the Bureau of Agriculture
of the USA, it has been estimated that Brazil will be the largest soybean exporter in
2023.
Keywords
Fuzzy Sets, Fuzzy Systems, Mamdani Inference Method, Prey, Predator, Control
1. Introduction
The soybean aphid, Aphis glycines (Hemiptera: Aphididae), is an invasive herbivore
new to North America. It was first discovered in North America in Wisconsin in late
July 2000 infesting soybean crop. High soybean aphids densities damage soybean plants
How to cite this paper: Peixoto, M.S.,
Barros, L.C., Bassanezi, R.C. and Fernandes,
O.A. (2016) On Fuzzy Control of Soybean
Aphid. Applied Mathematics, 7, 2149-2164.
http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/am.2016.717171
Received: September 15, 2016
Accepted: November 14, 2016
Published: November 17, 2016
Copyright © 2016 by authors and
Scientific Research Publishing Inc.
This work is licensed under the Creative
Commons Attribution International
License (CC BY 4.0).
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Open Access