REVIEWS ON ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH VOLUME 25, NO. 2,2010
Estimating the Burden of Disease Attributable to Four Selected
Environmental Risk Factors in South Africa
Rosana Norman,
1
Debbie Bradshaw,
2
Simon Lewin,3 Eugene Cairncross,
4
Nadine Nannan,
2
Theo Vos,
1
and the South African Comparative Risk Assessment Collaborating Group
'School of Population Health, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia;
2
Bwden of Disease Research
Unit, Medical Research Council of South Africa, Tygerberg, Cape Town;
3
Health Systems Research Unit,
Medical Research Council of South Africa and Norwegian Knowledge Centre for the Health Services, Oslo,
Norway;
4
Department of Chemical Engineering, Cape Peninsula University of Technology
Summary: Introduction: The first South African National Burden of Disease study quantified the underlying causes of
premature mortality and morbidity experienced in South Africa in the year 2000. This was followed by a Comparative
Risk Assessment to estimate the contributions of 17 selected risk factors to burden of disease in South Africa. This
paper describes the health impact of exposure to four selected environmental risk factors: unsafe water, sanitation and
hygiene; indoor air pollution from household use of solid fuels; urban outdoor air pollution and lead exposure. Methods:
The study followed World Health Organization comparative risk assessment methodology. Population-attributable
fractions were calculated and applied to revised burden of disease estimates (deaths and disability adjusted life years,
[DALYs]) from the South African Burden of Disease study to obtain the attributable burden for each selected risk
factor. The burden attributable to the joint effect of the four environmental risk factors was also estimated taking into
account competing risks and common pathways. Monte Carlo simulation-modeling techniques were used to quantify
sampling uncertainty. Results: Almost 24 000 deaths were attributable to the joint effect of these four environmental
risk factors, accounting for 4.6% (95% uncertainty interval 3.8-5.3%) of all deaths in South Africa in 2000. Overall the
burden due to these environmental risks was equivalent to 3.7% (95% uncertainty interval 3.4-4.0%) of the total disease
burden for South Africa, with unsafe water sanitation and hygiene the main contributor to joint burden. The joint
attributable burden was especially high in children under 5 years of age, accounting for 10.8% of total deaths in this age
group and 9.7% of burden of disease. Conclusion: This study highlights the public health impact of exposure to
environmental risks and the significant burden of preventable disease attributable to exposure to these four major
environmental risk factors in South Africa. Evidence-based policies and programs must be developed and implemented
to address these risk factors at individual, household, and community levels.
Key words: unsafe water sanitation and hygiene, indoor air pollution from household use of solid fuels, lead exposure,
urban outdoor air pollution, DALYs, comparative risk assessment
Correspondence: Rosana Norman, University of Queensland, School of Population Health, Herston, QLD 4006,
Australia; Tel: +61-7-3346 4619, Fax: +61-7-3365 5442; e-mail: r.normanfihiq.edu.au
INTRODUCTION causes of premature mortality and morbidity
experienced in South Africa in the year 2000 III.
The first South African National Burden of The initial estimates were revised based on
Disease (SA NBD) study identified the underlying additional data to estimate the disability-adjusted
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